| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7,380 | 22¢ → 24¢ | $1,771 | +$114 +6.9% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 1,081 | 56¢ → 85¢ | $918 | +$318 +53% |
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?Ends in 2d | No | 952 | 84¢ → 90¢ | $857 | +$57 +7.1% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,180 | 79¢ → 72¢ | $850 | −$82 −8.8% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 812 | 78¢ → 97¢ | $791 | +$156 +25% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 857 | 34¢ → 77¢ | $657 | +$367 +127% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 2,076 | 44¢ → 32¢ | $654 | −$256 −28% |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 758 | 66¢ → 72¢ | $542 | +$42 +8.4% |
| Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 651 | 65¢ → 80¢ | $518 | +$93 +22% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 1,500 | 41¢ → 33¢ | $495 | −$126 −20% |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Ends in 2d | No | 523 | 81¢ → 87¢ | $455 | +$32 +7.6% |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 671 | 65¢ → 65¢ | $436 | +$1 +0.2% |
| Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4,585 | 21¢ → 10¢ | $436 | −$548 −56% |
| Will Real Madrid finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season?Ends in 233d | No | 1,567 | 33¢ → 26¢ | $414 | −$109 −21% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 398 | 78¢ → 95¢ | $377 | +$65 +21% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 742 | 46¢ → 50¢ | $367 | +$26 +7.6% |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4,428 | 14¢ → 8¢ | $356 | −$244 −41% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 38d | Yes | 500 | 73¢ → 71¢ | $353 | −$14 −3.8% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 914 | 39¢ → 39¢ | $352 | −$5 −1.3% |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 848 | 36¢ → 40¢ | $336 | +$33 +11% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?Ends in 2d | No | 400 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $322 | +$2 +0.6% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 2d | Yes | 893 | 28¢ → 35¢ | $312 | +$62 +25% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 336 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $296 | +$1 +0.2% |
| Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 302 | 59¢ → 86¢ | $259 | +$81 +46% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 78¢ → 80¢ | $238 | +$4 +1.9% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 980 | 14¢ → 23¢ | $225 | +$87 +63% |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 159d | Yes | 1,500 | 11¢ → 15¢ | $225 | +$60 +36% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?Ends in 2d | No | 300 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $214 | −$1 −0.2% |
| Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Ends in 3d | No | 385 | 63¢ → 55¢ | $212 | −$33 −13% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,197 | 40¢ → 18¢ | $210 | −$270 −56% |
| Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 300 | 69¢ → 69¢ | $205 | −$1 −0.3% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 250 | 76¢ → 73¢ | $181 | −$8 −4.3% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 2,595 | 11¢ → 7¢ | $176 | −$109 −38% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 2,513 | 8¢ → 7¢ | $163 | −$38 −19% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 250 | 63¢ → 61¢ | $151 | −$6 −4.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 908 | 23¢ → 16¢ | $145 | −$64 −30% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 501 | 30¢ → 28¢ | $143 | −$6 −3.8% |
| Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?Ends in 234d | Yes | 422 | 29¢ → 33¢ | $137 | +$15 +12% |
| Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 250 | 56¢ → 55¢ | $136 | −$4 −3.0% |
| Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,402 | 2¢ → 9¢ | $130 | +$95 +272% |
| Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 423 | 28¢ → 31¢ | $129 | +$11 +9.7% |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4,417 | 7¢ → 3¢ | $117 | −$193 −62% |
| Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 37d | No | 191 | 53¢ → 61¢ | $117 | +$15 +15% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?Ends ended | Yes | 140 | 62¢ → 80¢ | $112 | +$25 +29% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?Ends in 6d | No | 284 | 42¢ → 38¢ | $108 | −$11 −9.5% |
| Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,120 | 5¢ → 9¢ | $101 | +$41 +68% |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5,000 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $97 | +$72 +290% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 500 | 17¢ → 20¢ | $97 | +$12 +15% |
| Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 100 | 78¢ → 97¢ | $97 | +$19 +24% |
| Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 24¢ → 24¢ | $96 | +$1 +0.9% |
| Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 128 | 69¢ → 73¢ | $93 | +$5 +5.6% |
| Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 99 | 77¢ → 93¢ | $92 | +$16 +21% |
| North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 126 | 73¢ → 70¢ | $88 | −$4 −4.6% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 250 | 35¢ → 34¢ | $85 | −$3 −4.0% |
| Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 219 | 31¢ → 39¢ | $84 | +$17 +26% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 60¢ → 83¢ | $83 | +$23 +39% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 400 | 19¢ → 21¢ | $82 | +$6 +7.9% |
| Will Vitinha finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6,528 | 5¢ → 1¢ | $82 | −$255 −76% |
| Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 106 | 77¢ → 75¢ | $79 | −$3 −3.2% |
| Eric Adams charged by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 520 | 30¢ → 15¢ | $78 | −$77 −50% |
| Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 129 | 55¢ → 59¢ | $76 | +$4 +5.9% |
| Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 258 | 28¢ → 28¢ | $71 | −$2 −2.9% |
| Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5,027 | 5¢ → 1¢ | $70 | −$158 −69% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 67¢ → 69¢ | $69 | +$2 +2.2% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,470 | 16¢ → 5¢ | $66 | −$170 −72% |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 191 | 24¢ → 33¢ | $62 | +$17 +37% |
| Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-10-23?Ends ended | No | 200 | 51¢ → 30¢ | $59 | −$43 −42% |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 60 | 77¢ → 90¢ | $54 | +$8 +17% |
| Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 215 | 23¢ → 25¢ | $54 | +$4 +8.8% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 2,954 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $52 | −$120 −70% |
| Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 434d | No | 50 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $50 | +$5 +11% |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 49 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $45 | +$2 +5.6% |
| Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 76¢ → 84¢ | $42 | +$4 +11% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 66¢ → 83¢ | $41 | +$8 +25% |
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 165 | 22¢ → 25¢ | $40 | +$5 +13% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 55 | 72¢ → 73¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 600 | 21¢ → 7¢ | $39 | −$89 −70% |
| Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,000 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $37 | −$12 −24% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,127 | 13¢ → 3¢ | $37 | −$112 −75% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,357 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $36 | −$34 −48% |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 70¢ → 71¢ | $36 | +$1 +2.1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 64¢ → 65¢ | $32 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,041 | 22¢ → 3¢ | $32 | −$198 −86% |
| Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 1,827 | 8¢ → 2¢ | $31 | −$119 −79% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 90 | 30¢ → 33¢ | $30 | +$3 +10.0% |
| Will João Neves finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,311 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $28 | −$32 −54% |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 39 | 61¢ → 63¢ | $24 | +$1 +3.3% |
| Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 400 | 9¢ → 6¢ | $24 | −$11 −31% |
| Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 50 | 52¢ → 48¢ | $24 | −$2 −8.7% |
| US x North Korea diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 151 | 10¢ → 16¢ | $23 | +$8 +55% |
| Will Nuno Mendes finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 786 | 8¢ → 3¢ | $23 | −$37 −62% |
| Will United Torah Judaism win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d | Yes | 47 | 44¢ → 45¢ | $21 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 500 | 14¢ → 4¢ | $19 | −$50 −72% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 198 | 15¢ → 10¢ | $19 | −$10 −35% |
| Will RZP-Zehut win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d | No | 30 | 60¢ → 61¢ | $18 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 50 | 42¢ → 35¢ | $18 | −$4 −17% |
| Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 37 | 39¢ → 46¢ | $17 | +$2 +17% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 26 | 58¢ → 59¢ | $15 | +$0 +0.9% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | No | 800 | 12¢ → 2¢ | $14 | −$86 −86% |
| Will Michael Olise finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 13¢ → 4¢ | $12 | −$27 −70% |
