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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga | 100% | 0 pts | +10 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Samuel Doria Medina | 0% | 0 pts | −94 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrónico Rodríguez | 0% | 0 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 429d |  pusseh | Samuel Doria Medina | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,495 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 429d | 0x97cc…bbbf2 fills | Samuel Doria Medina | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,000 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 430d |  debased3 fills | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,031 | +$460 +5.7% | 4 |
| 430d |  cookiejar | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,394 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 430d | debased | Samuel Doria Medina | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,178 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 430d |  ciro24 fills | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $52,788 | +$627 +1.2% | 4 |
| 430d | ciro2 | Samuel Doria Medina | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,199 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 430d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,344 | +$25 +0.2% | 4 |
| 430d | lijialijia20202 fills | Andrónico Rodríguez | SellNo>99¢ | $7,900 | −$23 −0.3% | — |
| 430d | debased | Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,264 | +$10 +0.3% | 4 |
| 431d |  gopfan2 | Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga | SellYes>99¢ | $2,458 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 431d | asdfgo | Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,834 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 431d |  Roflan-ludoman | Samuel Doria Medina | SellNo>99¢ | $1,188 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 431d | MAGURO | Andrónico Rodríguez | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,517 | −$49 −0.9% | — |
| 431d | Spon | Andrónico Rodríguez | SellNo>99¢ | $1,555 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 432d | nonkenny90 | Andrónico Rodríguez | SellNo>99¢ | $2,449 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 432d | tatao | Andrónico Rodríguez | SellNo>99¢ | $1,964 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 432d | VamosAmigos | Andrónico Rodríguez | SellNo>99¢ | $1,049 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 432d | VamosAmigos | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,050 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 432d | Titubant | Andrónico Rodríguez | SellNo>99¢ | $5,927 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 432d | haraya2 fills | Andrónico Rodríguez | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $14,967 | −$895 −6.0% | — |
| 432d |  kaedama | Andrónico Rodríguez | SellNo>99¢ | $2,137 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 432d | Wobbly-CrimeNew account | Samuel Doria Medina | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | −$9 −0.9% | — |
| 432d |  TradeDeficitArchitect | Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga | SellYes>99¢ | $1,324 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 432d | TradeDeficitArchitect | Andrónico Rodríguez | SellNo>99¢ | $1,004 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 432d |  knrad | Samuel Doria Medina | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | +$22 +2.0% | 4 |
| 432d |  Alicia | Samuel Doria Medina | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,325 | +$23 +1.0% | 4 |
| 432d | ccssz | Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | −$54 −4.8% | — |
| 432d |  GayPride6 fills | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyYes9¢ → 0¢ | $13,928 | −$13,928 −100% | 24 |
| 432d | lava-lava | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,450 | +$125 +3.6% | 4 |
| 432d | operationcastle2 fills | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $11,013 | +$496 +4.5% | 4 |
| 432d | ilyck | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$80 +4.2% | 4 |
| 432d | Roflan-ludoman2 fills | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $6,089 | +$660 +11% | 4 |
| 432d | VvVv | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,505 | +$245 +16% | 4 |
| 432d |  Riximoncadacoookedme | Andrónico Rodríguez | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,454 | −$257 −18% | — |
| 432d | tatao | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,701 | +$264 +16% | 4 |
| 432d | Tylersbathtime22 fills | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $270,967 | +$30,623 +11% | 4 |
| 432d | hindu | Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,998 | +$89 +3.0% | 4 |
| 433d | Vamoss | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyYes23¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 8 |
| 433d | hindu | Andrónico Rodríguez | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $33,611 | −$4,583 −14% | — |
| 433d | hindu | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $7,375 | +$819 +11% | 4 |
| 433d | scrapbook | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyYes11¢ → 0¢ | $1,351 | −$1,351 −100% | 6 |
| 433d |  betwick | Andrónico Rodríguez | SellYes10¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | +$1,500 +100% | — |
| 433d | MAGURO | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$566 +11% | 4 |
| 433d | Titubant2 fills | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,992 | +$617 +12% | 4 |
| 433d |  sciuboi | Andrónico Rodríguez | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,259 | −$172 −14% | — |
| 433d |  mapboro | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $6,004 | +$742 +12% | 4 |
| 433d | lijialijia20203 fills | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $34,081 | +$3,822 +11% | 4 |
| 433d | AZwater3 fills | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $10,858 | +$1,230 +11% | 4 |
| 434d | haraya6 fills | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $12,061 | +$1,202 +10.0% | 4 |
| 434d | sdiff123 | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyYes11¢ → 0¢ | $1,303 | −$1,303 −100% | 6 |
| 434d | nnn3 | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $9,612 | +$1,068 +11% | 4 |
| 434d | Spon | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,662 | +$185 +11% | 4 |
| 434d | coco040678 | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,900 | +$426 +8.7% | 4 |
| 434d | warlasfutpro | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,229 | +$526 +12% | 4 |
| 434d | sciuboi | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,311 | +$99 +7.5% | 4 |
| 434d | cookiejar | Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,404 | +$74 +5.3% | 4 |
| 434d | kaedama | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$139 +7.0% | 4 |
| 435d | gopfan22 fills | Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $3,408 | +$483 +14% | 4 |
| 437d | bbpro1 | Andrónico Rodríguez | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,365 | +$135 +9.9% | 4 |
Parliament4,733 sharesGayPride4,289 shares
TheNoobBeaver272 sharesGeneral elections are scheduled to take place in Bolivia on August 17, 2025. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Bolivia's presidential runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the president is decided in the first round of the election or the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga means the market gives it about 100%.