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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seoul (서울) | 100% | +6 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Busan (부산) | 0% | −11 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gangwon State (강원특별자치도) | 0% | −45 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ulsan (울산) | 0% | −52 pts | −50 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Chungbuk State (충청북도) | 100% | +16 pts | +44 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gyeongnam State (경상남도) | 0% | −5 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daejeon (대전) | 100% | +6 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gyeonggi Province (경기도) | 100% | +3 pts | +24 pts | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Daegu (대구) | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chungnam State (충청남도) | 100% | +26 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Incheon (인천) | 100% | +2 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gwangju (광주) | 100% | +1 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jeonnam State (전라남도) | 100% | +1 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sejong (세종) | 100% | +10 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jeju Province (제주도) | 100% | +2 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jeonbuk State (전북특별자치도) | 100% | +2 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507d |  Flipadelphia | Chungbuk State (충청북도) | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,817 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 507d | 0x65c65De373A10e5f319f72 | Busan (부산) | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,213 | +$8 +0.1% | 10 |
| 507d | crypto911 | Seoul (서울) | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,759 | +$77 +2.0% | 10 |
| 507d | ESK7941 | Seoul (서울) | SellYes100¢ | $1,364 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 508d |  HappyTapping3 fills | Seoul (서울) | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,442 | +$219 +2.9% | 10 |
| 508d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Gangwon State (강원특별자치도) | BuyYes>99¢ → 0¢ | $1,652 | −$1,652 −100% | 10 |
| 508d | parlia5 fills | Seoul (서울) | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $17,936 | +$601 +3.3% | 10 |
| 508d | nicknameman | Busan (부산) | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 508d | nicknameman | Busan (부산) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,548 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 508d | nicknameman | Gyeonggi Province (경기도) | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,358 | +$4 +0.3% | 10 |
| 508d |  Chinese1232 fills | Seoul (서울) | SellYes>99¢ | $2,832 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 508d | YTG | Seoul (서울) | SellYes>99¢ | $2,931 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 508d | laprairie | Seoul (서울) | SellYes>99¢ | $3,748 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 508d | tbn-172 | Seoul (서울) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 508d |  BIGSUKYEOL | Seoul (서울) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,992 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 508d |  BenjarninNetanyahu | Chungbuk State (충청북도) | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,241 | +$27 +2.2% | 11 |
| 508d | Chinese123 | Seoul (서울) | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | +$66 +5.8% | 11 |
| 508d | HOO5 fills | Seoul (서울) | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $6,750 | +$691 +10% | 11 |
| 508d | BenjarninNetanyahu | Ulsan (울산) | BuyNo51¢ → 100¢ | $1,499 | +$1,460 +97% | 18 |
| 508d | nonkenny907 fills | Seoul (서울) | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $10,792 | +$638 +5.9% | 10 |
| 509d | Salgoo4 fills | Seoul (서울) | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $6,071 | −$349 −5.7% | — |
| 510d | kokobob | Seoul (서울) | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,632 | −$107 −6.6% | — |
| 510d | Shikamaru.DM | Seoul (서울) | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,283 | +$120 +5.3% | 11 |
| 510d |  BICTORY | Seoul (서울) | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,243 | −$227 −7.0% | — |
| 511d |  aabbcc152342 fills | Seoul (서울) | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,518 | +$136 +5.4% | 10 |
| 511d | BIGSUKYEOL | Seoul (서울) | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$96 +8.1% | 11 |
| 512d | HOO | Seoul (서울) | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,571 | −$129 −5.0% | — |
| 512d | ESK7941 | Seoul (서울) | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,865 | +$135 +4.7% | 10 |
| 512d | Salgoo4 fills | Seoul (서울) | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $6,971 | +$447 +6.4% | 10 |
| 513d | laprairie | Seoul (서울) | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,077 | +$128 +6.2% | 10 |
| 513d | MicroShift | Seoul (서울) | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,392 | −$95 −6.8% | — |
| 513d | MicroShift | Seoul (서울) | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,432 | +$56 +3.9% | 10 |
| 513d | KamLus5 fills | Seoul (서울) | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $27,541 | +$2,904 +11% | 11 |
| 513d |  scottilicious | Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $21,474 | +$398 +1.9% | 10 |
| 513d | YTG | Seoul (서울) | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,420 | +$275 +11% | 11 |
| 513d | BICTORY2 fills | Seoul (서울) | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,927 | +$343 +12% | 11 |
| 513d |  TM.FLOW | Seoul (서울) | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,772 | −$228 −13% | — |
Vasylon3 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Lee Jae-myung receives the highest number of votes among all candidates in the listed administrative division in the 2025 South Korean presidential election. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be the official results published by South Korea’s National Election Commission (NEC, 중앙선거관리위원회), available at http://info.nec.go.kr/. The relevant data will be the final certified vote count for the specified administrative division. If the results are delayed, contested, or otherwise unavailable, this market will remain open until the NEC publishes official results for the relevant division.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Seoul (서울) means the market gives it about 100%.