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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Russia | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| South Korea | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan | 100% | 0 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| France | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Germany | 100% | +79 pts | +76 pts | 100¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Israel | 100% | +1 pts | +66 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Canada | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| United Kingdom | 100% | +6 pts | +10 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Saudi Arabia | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Taiwan | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Belarus | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ukraine | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| India | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mexico | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Turkey | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Italy | 100% | +1 pts | +12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Oman | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d | Russia | SellNo>99¢ | $4,373 | −$17 −0.4% | — | |
| 297d | Ukraine | SellNo>99¢ | $1,394 | −$5 −0.3% | — | |
| 297d | Oman | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,656 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 298d | France | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,153 | +$17 +0.4% | 20 | |
| 298d | forinnerpsandr1x11222 | India | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,061 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 |
| 298d | forinnerpsandr1x11222 | Belarus | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,839 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 298d | forinnerpsandr1x112223 fills | Russia | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,339 | +$70 +0.4% | 20 |
| 298d | forinnerpsandr1x112222 fills | Ukraine | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,554 | +$14 +0.1% | 20 |
| 299d | China | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,302 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 303d | tommyaltaccount | China | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,595 | +$20 +0.4% | 20 |
| 303d | tommyaltaccount | Russia | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,750 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 303d | tommyaltaccount | Belarus | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,348 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 304d | Vilgefortz | China | BuyNo100¢ | $1,095 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 |
| 305d | China | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,653 | −$172 −1.8% | — | |
| 307d | polca | Russia | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,117 | +$13 +0.6% | 20 |
| 309d | jiudubishu | China | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 311d | Vilgefortz3 fills | Russia | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,508 | +$42 +0.6% | 20 |
| 313d | China | SellNo100¢ | $1,043 | −$5 −0.5% | — | |
| 314d | Russia | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,685 | −$15 −0.6% | — | |
| 315d | Turkey | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,588 | +$11 +0.7% | 20 | |
| 315d | Belarus | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,693 | +$20 +0.8% | 20 | |
| 315d | India | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$10 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 316d | ehkscfzu9gtcc | China | BuyNo100¢ | $2,527 | +$13 +0.5% | 20 |
| 316d | oklrexnky36qu | China | BuyNo100¢ | $2,512 | +$13 +0.5% | 20 |
| 316d | Vilgefortz | Taiwan | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,296 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 316d | alwaysOn2 fills | India | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,742 | +$43 +1.6% | 20 |
| 316d | Belarus | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,782 | +$29 +1.6% | 20 | |
| 318d | Jest55 | Russia | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | −$18 −1.6% | — |
| 318d | binance-newbie | Russia | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $31,287 | +$639 +2.0% | 20 |
| 319d | fdgj74sef46gxf | France | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,904 | +$25 +1.3% | 20 |
| 319d | jkbvnfg4fgdjfghj6 | France | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,844 | +$24 +1.3% | 20 |
| 319d | tyusdfmnhbm7fgr6 | France | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,116 | +$28 +1.3% | 20 |
| 320d | huatimus | Russia | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,782 | +$41 +2.3% | 20 |
| 320d | wohocool3 | Ukraine | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,271 | +$29 +2.3% | 20 |
| 339d | noman2026 | China | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,060 | −$46 −2.2% | — |
| 349d | yxz | Taiwan | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,545 | −$40 −2.6% | — |
| 349d | nedsta | Belarus | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,927 | +$80 +4.2% | 20 |
| 350d | alwaysOn | Turkey | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,072 | +$52 +4.8% | 20 |
| 350d | alwaysOn | Belarus | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,287 | +$68 +5.3% | 20 |
| 352d | Russia | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$100 +5.3% | 20 | |
| 353d | Jest55 | Russia | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$54 +5.3% | 20 |
| 355d | Russia | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,466 | −$77 −5.3% | — | |
| 357d | Russia | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,538 | +$239 +5.3% | 20 | |
| 359d | igeniu4 fills | China | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $16,442 | +$936 +5.7% | 20 |
| 360d | South Korea | SellYes>99¢ | $1,103 | −$2 −0.2% | — | |
| 360d | South Korea | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,695 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 360d | Millu | South Korea | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,465 | −$25 −0.5% | — |
| 360d | pol76 | South Korea | SellYes>99¢ | $2,272 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 360d | South Korea | SellYes>99¢ | $1,353 | −$3 −0.2% | — | |
| 361d | ggggggf | South Korea | SellYes>99¢ | $1,053 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 361d | zhangpengdio | South Korea | SellYes>99¢ | $1,098 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 361d | ggggggf | South Korea | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,056 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 361d | zhangpengdio | South Korea | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,099 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 361d | hghju | South Korea | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,101 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 361d | Yeahssd | South Korea | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,053 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 361d | South Korea | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,538 | +$47 +0.3% | 20 | |
| 362d | Japan | SellYes>99¢ | $1,703 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 362d | Lolololol | South Korea | SellYes>99¢ | $1,136 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 362d | Japan | SellYes>99¢ | $1,702 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 362d | Japan | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,407 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 15 and December 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for China means the market gives it about 0%.