Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| The New York Times | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| The Washington Post | 100% | +3 pts | — | 97¢ · >99¢ (3¢) | — | ended |
| The Associated Press | 100% | +3 pts | — | 97¢ · >99¢ (3¢) | — | ended |
| CNN | 100% | +3 pts | — | 97¢ · 100¢ (3¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 367d | Fox News | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,182 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 368d | The New York Times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,415 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 368d | The New York Times | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,323 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 368d | The Associated Press | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,067 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 368d | CNN | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,479 | +$74 +3.0% | 4 | |
| 368d | The Washington Post | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,575 | +$81 +3.1% | 20 | |
| 368d | The Washington Post | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,784 | +$117 +6.5% | 20 | |
| 368d | The Associated Press | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | +$78 +7.5% | 4 | |
| 368d | CNN | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | +$82 +7.5% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that the listed media outlet’s Pentagon press pass is revoked by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "Pentagon press pass" means the OSD Public Affairs–issued Pentagon building access credential (press accreditation) required for routine entry to Pentagon facilities and press workspaces; briefing invites or remote/pool access do not qualify. A qualifying revocation includes any circumstances under which an outlet is no longer permitted to hold any active Pentagon press badges, whether through rescinding, deactivation, collection, or non-renewal, etc. This includes time-boxed or indefinite suspensions affecting the entire outlet. If a qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" even if the effective date is later; any later reinstatement will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from the Department of Defense (Pentagon), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Fox News means the market gives it about 100%.