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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk | 100% | 0 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Mark Zuckerberg | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| John Ternus | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dario Amodei | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sundar Pichai | 100% | +2 pts | — | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Tim Cook | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Alex Karp | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jensen Huang | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Satya Nadella | 100% | +2 pts | — | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Sam Altman | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, during which Donald Trump is expected to host a state dinner for him at the White House. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is confirmed to have attended the White House state dinner held for Xi Jinping between market creation and October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the state dinner is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the state dinner. A qualifying state dinner must both occur and be known to have occurred within the specified timeframe. Attendance at a state dinner which occurred before market creation will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Elon Musk means the market gives it about 100%.
