| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 1,667 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$4 −83% |
| Will Elon Musk attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 108 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,073 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$77 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 6?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 56 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 30 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Santa deliver between 8,000,000,000 and 8,100,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 178 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 68 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 19 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 23 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 4AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 383 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 38 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 18 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 65 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 117 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 307 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,138 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 186 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Trump kiss by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 25, 4AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 168 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 167 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 147 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 198 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 40 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 625 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 163 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,817 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on October 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 210 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 579 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 44 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 81 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 283 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Santa deliver between 7,900,000,000 and 8,000,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 254 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 60 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 24 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 67 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 223 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$59 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 316 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$66 −100% |
| Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 15 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 340 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 18 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 39 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 55 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 60 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on November 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 17 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41,864 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$89 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 90 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 553 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 43 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 402 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 25, 8AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 109 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 24 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 125 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,051 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$91 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,260 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 6?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,642 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$148 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 920 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of September 14 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 818 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,160 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$544 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 31 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 12 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 140 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 304 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,190 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 7 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Microsoft have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 50 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 258 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$125 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12,401 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$226 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 52 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 143 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 126 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 73 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Moonshot have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 25, 5AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 135 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
