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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Warsh | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 7d |
| Judy Shelton | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 7d |
| Kevin Hassett | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 7d |
| Christopher Waller | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 7d |
| Jerome Powell | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 7d |
| Stephen Miran | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 7d |
| Scott Bessent | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 7d |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 7d |
| Michelle Bowman | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 7d |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 7d |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 7d |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 7d |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 7d |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 7d |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 7d |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 7d |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 7d |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 7d |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 7d |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 7d |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 7d |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 7d |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 7d |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 7d |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 7d |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 7d |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 7d |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 7d |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 7d |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 7d |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 7d |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 7d |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 7d |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 7d |
| Rick Reider | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 7d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 163d | huatlonglong | Kevin Warsh | SellYes>99¢ | $1,130 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 163d | blackjackquad | Kevin Warsh | SellYes>99¢ | $1,589 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 163d | keepsfailingupwards | Kevin Warsh | SellYes>99¢ | $11,772 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 163d | fivehouse | Kevin Warsh | SellYes>99¢ | $7,675 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 163d | usdcslow | Kevin Warsh | SellYes>99¢ | $1,921 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 163d | almostunmarried | Kevin Warsh | SellYes>99¢ | $3,527 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 163d | STAMP-SRC20 | Michelle Bowman | BuyYes<1¢ | $1,643 | −$1,643 −100% | 14 |
| 163d |  scottilicious2 fills | Kevin Warsh | SellYes>99¢ | $10,104 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 163d |  JAHODA | Judy Shelton | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,624 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 163d |  BenzoateOstylezeneBicarbonate2 fills | Judy Shelton | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,851 | +$12 +0.1% | 10 |
| 163d |  debased | Judy Shelton | BuyNo>99¢ | $199,669 | +$200 +0.1% | 10 |
| 163d | QMG-MACRO | Kevin Warsh | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 163d | tsekinming01 | Kevin Warsh | SellYes>99¢ | $51,749 | −$52 −0.1% | — |
| 163d | QMG-CORE | Kevin Warsh | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | erffbf | Kevin Warsh | SellYes>99¢ | $1,257 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | aviato | Kevin Warsh | SellYes>99¢ | $3,184 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | GemmHYJa2 fills | Judy Shelton | SellNo>99¢ | $5,012 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 164d | PredMarketTechnologies | Kevin Warsh | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,906 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 164d | raahraahraah | Kevin Warsh | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,866 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 164d | keepsfailingupwards | Kevin Warsh | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,772 | +$12 +0.1% | 10 |
| 164d | huatlonglong | Kevin Warsh | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,130 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 164d | blackjackquad | Kevin Warsh | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,589 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 164d | usdcslow | Kevin Warsh | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,921 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 164d | fivehouse | Kevin Warsh | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,675 | +$8 +0.1% | 10 |
| 164d | almostunmarried | Kevin Warsh | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,527 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 164d | 00SevenB | Kevin Warsh | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,994 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 |
| 164d |  elmcap24 fills | Michelle Bowman | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,471,261 | +$2,050 +0.1% | 10 |
| 164d | lfg321 | Michelle Bowman | BuyNo>99¢ | $99,900 | +$100 +0.1% | 10 |
| 164d | S55 | Kevin Warsh | SellYes>99¢ | $1,297 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 164d | GemmHYJa2 fills | Judy Shelton | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,016 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 |
| 164d | GemmHYJa | Michelle Bowman | SellNo>99¢ | $2,527 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 164d | Ignorant-Toffee | Michelle Bowman | SellNo>99¢ | $2,506 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 164d | ReneGH | Judy Shelton | SellNo>99¢ | $2,498 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 165d | XVHJSGD | Kevin Warsh | SellYes>99¢ | $1,688 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 165d | FedWillWin | Kevin Warsh | BuyYes>99¢ | $296,437 | +$594 +0.2% | 10 |
| 165d |  poorersob | Michelle Bowman | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 10 |
| 165d | oatbxpbxib | Kevin Warsh | SellYes>99¢ | $1,552 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 165d | oatbxpbxib | Kevin Warsh | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,553 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 165d |  Noooooooop | Judy Shelton | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 165d | erffbf | Kevin Warsh | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,255 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 165d | ReneGH | Judy Shelton | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,501 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 165d | Pansiew | Kevin Warsh | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,395 | +$5 +0.2% | 10 |
| 165d | Ignorant-Toffee | Michelle Bowman | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,509 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 165d | GemmHYJa | Michelle Bowman | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,530 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 165d |  Car | Judy Shelton | BuyNo>99¢ | $33,300 | +$33 +0.1% | 10 |
| 165d | Elias.Thornwell | Michelle Bowman | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,046 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 165d |  0x039478r87r8yr3f7hd | Judy Shelton | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,980 | +$20 +0.1% | 10 |
| 165d |  STDgambler | Judy Shelton | SellNo>99¢ | $9,980 | −$20 −0.2% | — |
| 165d | 0xb55c6dc1dafc7c30f48d617252ee75bcc5c540a3 | Kevin Warsh | SellYes>99¢ | $3,206 | −$10 −0.3% | — |
| 165d | FedWillWin | Michelle Bowman | BuyNo>99¢ | $888,578 | +$1,781 +0.2% | 10 |
| 165d | rhrrikgu | Kevin Warsh | SellYes>99¢ | $1,525 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 165d | rhrrikgu | Kevin Warsh | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,527 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 165d | zdcrjhkg | Kevin Warsh | SellYes>99¢ | $1,081 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 165d | GenevTYieve | Michelle Bowman | SellNo>99¢ | $2,537 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 166d | OdetRTGte | Michelle Bowman | SellNo>99¢ | $2,506 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 166d | i18z2 fills | Judy Shelton | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 166d | jdcgo | Michelle Bowman | SellNo>99¢ | $10,180 | −$31 −0.3% | — |
| 166d | jdcgo | Judy Shelton | SellNo>99¢ | $19,456 | −$39 −0.2% | — |
| 166d | Warlike-Horn | Judy Shelton | SellNo>99¢ | $60,878 | −$122 −0.2% | — |
| 166d | cqs | Kevin Warsh | SellYes>99¢ | $9,970 | −$30 −0.3% | — |
MartinStraub106 shares
Wickier140,596 sharesThis market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Kevin Warsh means the market gives it about 100%.