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Polymarket wallet 0x70f3f3ce555e2fcee4e6d39559a3f8c6cd982822 · on Polymarket since Feb 21, 2026 · also shown as Made-Up-Beating-Sociology
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20,293 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$156 −100% |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,804 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$90 −100% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23,777 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$856 −100% |
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 195,609 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,139 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150,214 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$580 −100% |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 130,619 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,538 −100% |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,024 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$512 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 34 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.