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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RFK Jr. | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bobby Jindal | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brian Blase | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Eric Hargan | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paul Mango | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joe Grogan | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ben Carson | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 617d | RFK Jr. | SellYes>99¢ | $7,561 | −$8 −0.1% | — | |
| 617d | Joe Grogan | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,071 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 617d | RFK Jr. | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $20,537 | +$481 +2.3% | 4 | |
| 617d | RFK Jr. | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,613 | +$22 +0.6% | 4 | |
| 620d | RFK Jr. | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $13,023 | −$373 −2.9% | — | |
| 620d | RFK Jr. | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,788 | +$61 +1.6% | 4 | |
| 624d | PoloSte | RFK Jr. | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | −$34 −3.1% | — |
| 624d | UnknownG1010 | RFK Jr. | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,050 | −$60 −2.9% | — |
| 625d | RFK Jr. | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,647 | −$44 −2.7% | — | |
| 626d | semi | RFK Jr. | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | +$31 +2.8% | 4 |
| 626d | cigarettes | Brian Blase | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,228 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 626d | cigarettes | Eric Hargan | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,229 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 626d | cigarettes | Paul Mango | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,228 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 626d | cigarettes | Joe Grogan | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,229 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 626d | cigarettes | Bobby Jindal | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,229 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 626d | cigarettes | Ben Carson | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,207 | +$23 +1.9% | 4 |
| 626d | RFK Jr. | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,585 | +$99 +6.3% | 4 | |
| 626d | RFK Jr. | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,880 | +$268 +6.9% | 4 | |
| 627d | MyFriendTotoro | RFK Jr. | SellNo18¢ → 0¢ | $1,073 | +$1,073 +100% | — |
| 627d | Doggieson5 fills | RFK Jr. | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $24,791 | +$6,177 +25% | 4 |
| 627d | RFK Jr. | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,343 | +$348 +26% | 4 | |
| 627d | Cbarbhwux4 fills | RFK Jr. | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $7,085 | +$2,551 +36% | 4 |
| 628d | MyFriendTotoro | RFK Jr. | BuyNo21¢ → 0¢ | $1,279 | −$1,279 −100% | 5 |
| 628d | RFK Jr. | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $3,386 | −$914 −27% | — | |
| 628d | RFK Jr. | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $6,967 | +$1,864 +27% | 4 | |
| 629d | Heyheyhey777 | Ben Carson | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $6,383 | +$822 +13% | 4 |
| 631d | Quadratus | RFK Jr. | SellNo24¢ → 0¢ | $2,433 | +$2,433 +100% | — |
| 632d | Kysi | RFK Jr. | SellYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,510 | −$465 −31% | — |
| 632d | sihowes2 fills | RFK Jr. | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $3,288 | −$859 −26% | — |
| 632d | RFK Jr. | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,398 | +$502 +21% | 4 | |
| 632d | Cbarbhwux | RFK Jr. | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $2,001 | −$499 −25% | — |
| 632d | Quadratus2 fills | RFK Jr. | BuyNo26¢ → 0¢ | $2,974 | −$2,974 −100% | 9 |
| 632d | Kysi | Ben Carson | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,944 | −$190 −9.8% | — |
| 633d | Kysi | Ben Carson | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,922 | +$212 +11% | 4 |
| 641d | BlackPeopleDontRecycle | RFK Jr. | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $5,690 | +$1,317 +23% | 4 |
| 644d | eNakeVets8 fills | RFK Jr. | SellYes74¢ → 100¢ | $15,657 | −$5,507 −35% | — |
| 644d | RFK Jr. | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,542 | −$348 −23% | — | |
| 654d | ASOFE2 fills | RFK Jr. | BuyNo20¢ → 0¢ | $3,151 | −$3,151 −100% | 11 |
| 655d | RFK Jr. | SellNo24¢ → 0¢ | $3,413 | +$3,413 +100% | — | |
| 655d | 0x2370…0e10 | Ben Carson | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,281 | −$133 −10% | — |
| 656d | 0x2370…0e10 | RFK Jr. | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,898 | −$589 −20% | — |
| 657d | RFK Jr. | BuyNo20¢ → 0¢ | $2,420 | −$2,420 −100% | 9 | |
| 662d | 0x2370…0e10 | Ben Carson | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,185 | +$230 +19% | 4 |
| 662d | 0x2370…0e10 | RFK Jr. | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,830 | +$495 +27% | 4 |
| 664d | semi | RFK Jr. | BuyNo14¢ → 0¢ | $1,255 | −$1,255 −100% | 6 |
| 672d | titimiquito | RFK Jr. | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $2,936 | −$1,064 −36% | — |
| 673d | titimiquito2 fills | RFK Jr. | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $4,255 | +$1,695 +40% | 4 |
| 673d | eNakeVets9 fills | RFK Jr. | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $15,162 | +$7,427 +49% | 4 |
| 679d | RFK Jr. | BuyNo26¢ → 0¢ | $1,157 | −$1,157 −100% | 5 | |
| 682d | RFK Jr. | BuyNo27¢ → 0¢ | $2,418 | −$2,418 −100% | 8 | |
| 685d | sihowes | RFK Jr. | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,506 | +$738 +49% | 4 |
| 685d | Master-Margarita | RFK Jr. | SellYes66¢ → 100¢ | $5,685 | −$2,967 −52% | — |
| 686d | Mangy62 | RFK Jr. | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $3,643 | +$1,754 +48% | 4 |
| 687d | Master-Margarita3 fills | RFK Jr. | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $13,491 | +$6,436 +48% | 4 |
| 688d | RFK Jr. | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $2,448 | +$1,157 +47% | 4 | |
| 699d | Ben Carson | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | +$41 +3.8% | 4 | |
| 700d | Ben Carson | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $6,201 | +$514 +8.3% | 4 | |
| 700d | RFK Jr. | BuyNo21¢ → 0¢ | $5,352 | −$5,352 −100% | 13 | |
| 702d | 4-2 | RFK Jr. | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,349 | +$304 +23% | 4 |
| 706d | RFK Jr. | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,642 | +$358 +22% | 4 |
This is a market on predicting the individual who will be confirmed as the next Health and Human Services Secretary.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for RFK Jr. means the market gives it about 100%.