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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tulsi Gabbard (DNI Director) | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elon Musk (DOGE Head) | 100% | +76 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Scott Bessent (Treasury Secretary) | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marco Rubio (Sec. of State) | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Pete Hegseth (Defense Secretary) | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lee Zeldin (EPA Director) | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jerome Powell (Fed Chair) | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| RFK Jr. (HHS Secretary) | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pam Bondi (AG) | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Karoline Leavitt (Press Secretary) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Susie Wiles (WH Chief of Staff) | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 542d |  Flipadelphia2 fills | Pete Hegseth (Defense Secretary) | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,924 | +$25 +0.2% | 20 |
| 543d | FoldingNuts272 | RFK Jr. (HHS Secretary) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,074 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 543d | FoldingNuts272 | Tulsi Gabbard (DNI Director) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,112 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 543d | FoldingNuts272 | Jerome Powell (Fed Chair) | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,550 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 543d | FoldingNuts272 | Pam Bondi (AG) | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,885 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 543d | FoldingNuts272 | Marco Rubio (Sec. of State) | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,092 | +$11 +0.2% | 20 |
| 543d |  TheFund | Pete Hegseth (Defense Secretary) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,704 | +$16 +0.9% | 20 |
| 543d | Trump2028 | Lee Zeldin (EPA Director) | SellNo>99¢ | $4,020 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 543d |  mr.ozi | Pete Hegseth (Defense Secretary) | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,643 | −$57 −2.2% | — |
| 546d | Trump2028 | Lee Zeldin (EPA Director) | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,008 | +$16 +0.4% | 20 |
| 547d | slight- | Pete Hegseth (Defense Secretary) | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | +$37 +3.4% | 20 |
| 548d |  Milktoast | Pete Hegseth (Defense Secretary) | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,265 | +$45 +3.6% | 20 |
| 549d | mr.ozi2 fills | Pete Hegseth (Defense Secretary) | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,495 | +$155 +6.2% | 20 |
| 549d | 0xe639e41094bbeae18g3e6d1790c17299183f082a | Jerome Powell (Fed Chair) | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,173 | −$151 −2.9% | — |
| 551d | mooseytunes0 | Pete Hegseth (Defense Secretary) | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,397 | +$203 +3.2% | 20 |
| 553d | mitraa | Jerome Powell (Fed Chair) | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | −$29 −1.5% | — |
| 556d |  johnnyA | Scott Bessent (Treasury Secretary) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | +$24 +2.3% | 20 |
| 556d |  FrancisSP8 | Pete Hegseth (Defense Secretary) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,844 | +$55 +1.9% | 20 |
| 562d |  Sergsky | Scott Bessent (Treasury Secretary) | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,938 | +$52 +2.7% | 20 |
| 562d |  donkeykongnig | Scott Bessent (Treasury Secretary) | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,918 | +$82 +4.3% | 20 |
| 562d |  scrooge2 fills | Scott Bessent (Treasury Secretary) | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,784 | +$148 +5.3% | 20 |
| 562d | scrooge | Pete Hegseth (Defense Secretary) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,469 | +$32 +2.1% | 20 |
| 563d | donkeykongnig | Pete Hegseth (Defense Secretary) | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | −$31 −3.0% | — |
| 566d | scrooge3 fills | Marco Rubio (Sec. of State) | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,187 | +$251 +2.7% | 20 |
| 566d |  classified | Pete Hegseth (Defense Secretary) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,419 | +$29 +2.0% | 20 |
| 570d | mitraa | Marco Rubio (Sec. of State) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,624 | +$28 +1.7% | 20 |
| 572d |  Car2 fills | Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) | SellYes>99¢ | $11,807 | −$27 −0.2% | — |
| 573d |  Eridpnc | Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) | SellYes>99¢ | $16,484 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 573d |  scottxia1988 | Pete Hegseth (Defense Secretary) | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,785 | +$130 +7.3% | 20 |
| 574d | 0330330333 fills | Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) | BuyYes>99¢ | $266,666 | +$459 +0.2% | 20 |
| 575d | Liquidifier | Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,846 | +$7 +0.4% | 20 |
| 575d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) | BuyYes>99¢ | $196,590 | +$617 +0.3% | 20 |
| 575d | Snoorrason | Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) | BuyYes100¢ | $2,244 | +$11 +0.5% | 20 |
| 575d |  KimJonEn | Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,548 | +$11 +0.7% | 20 |
| 575d | donkeykongnig | Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,478 | −$22 −0.9% | — |
| 575d | Legume | Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,600 | −$18 −0.7% | — |
| 575d | Legume | Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,992 | +$8 +0.4% | 20 |
| 575d | Ordon | Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,973 | −$27 −0.9% | — |
| 575d | Flipadelphia2 fills | Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) | BuyYes>99¢ | $117,012 | +$410 +0.4% | 20 |
| 575d |  ScamWick5 fills | Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) | BuyNo3¢ → 0¢ | $15,251 | −$15,251 −100% | 41 |
| 575d |  Infringe2 fills | Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,714 | +$52 +0.6% | 20 |
| 575d | Eridpnc | Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,982 | +$18 +0.6% | 20 |
| 575d | DragonRider-819 | Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,741 | +$12 +0.7% | 20 |
| 575d |  Burnmoneyuser | Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,570 | +$53 +0.7% | 20 |
| 575d |  Original-Zyn2 fills | Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $42,024 | +$306 +0.7% | 20 |
| 575d |  Wickier | Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,970 | +$30 +0.6% | 20 |
| 575d | Original-Zyn | Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) | BuyNo1¢ → 0¢ | $1,800 | −$1,800 −100% | 24 |
| 575d | Car2 fills | Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,819 | +$30 +0.5% | 20 |
| 575d | FedFan | Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) | BuyYes100¢ | $1,990 | +$10 +0.5% | 20 |
| 575d | donkeykongnig | Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,184 | +$16 +0.3% | 20 |
| 575d |  praesagus2 fills | Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) | SellYes>99¢ | $4,524 | −$14 −0.3% | — |
| 575d |  Dropper2 fills | Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,084 | +$28 +0.3% | 20 |
| 575d | praesagus | Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) | BuyYes100¢ | $1,990 | +$10 +0.5% | 20 |
| 597d | SitsToPee | Jerome Powell (Fed Chair) | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,057 | −$33 −3.1% | — |
| 604d |  MotherTheresa | Scott Bessent (Treasury Secretary) | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,341 | −$52 −3.9% | — |
| 604d | MotherTheresa | Pete Hegseth (Defense Secretary) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | −$56 −5.3% | — |
| 611d | 545688 | Marco Rubio (Sec. of State) | SellYes4¢ → 0¢ | $1,192 | +$1,192 +100% | — |
| 611d | 545688 | Scott Bessent (Treasury Secretary) | SellYes3¢ → 0¢ | $1,652 | +$1,652 +100% | — |
| 611d | 545688 | Lee Zeldin (EPA Director) | SellYes3¢ → 0¢ | $1,315 | +$1,315 +100% | — |
| 611d | 545688 | Tulsi Gabbard (DNI Director) | SellYes3¢ → 0¢ | $2,496 | +$2,496 +100% | — |
YourPresident10,000 shares
duderr1,980 shares
Fartard1,000 shares
JaidenAnimations10 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual ceases to occupy the listed position for any period of time between February 12 and April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of listed individual resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only announcements of resignations before the listed individuals scheduled term in that position is up will qualify (e.g. If Powell announces that he will not seek another term as Fed Chair, this will not qualify). The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) means the market gives it about 100%.