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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 100% | +14 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Emmanuel Macron | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Keir Starmer | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Abdel Fattah El-Sisi | 100% | +17 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ursula von der Leyen | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mette Frederiksen | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Friedrich Merz | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mark Carney | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Javier Milei | 100% | +19 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Isaac Herzog | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| He Lifeng | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guy Parmelin | 100% | +29 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Aleksandar Vučić | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sheikh Mohammed Bin Abdulrahman Al Thani | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 273d |  bamesjond | Aleksandar Vučić | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,288 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 273d | FlyingPlaty | Friedrich Merz | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,242 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 273d | M8882 fills | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,326 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 273d | M888 | He Lifeng | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,957 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 273d | M888 | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $31,052 | +$31 +0.1% | 4 |
| 273d |  BlondBeast | Keir Starmer | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,939 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 273d |  adonpoli2 fills | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,093 | +$18 +0.3% | 4 |
| 273d | DawnOfYemen | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 273d | Laurenman | Friedrich Merz | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,479 | +$21 +0.6% | 4 |
| 273d |  therealonestepahead | Friedrich Merz | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,201 | +$7 +0.6% | 4 |
| 273d | cripes3 | Isaac Herzog | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,357 | +$34 +1.0% | 4 |
| 273d | Laurenman2 fills | Isaac Herzog | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,243 | +$33 +1.0% | 4 |
| 273d | Laurenman | Mette Frederiksen | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,999 | −$12 −0.6% | — |
| 274d | FlyingPlaty2 fills | Keir Starmer | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,567 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 274d | FlyingPlaty | Mark Carney | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,473 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 274d | FlyingPlaty | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,162 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 274d |  Roeman | Mette Frederiksen | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,601 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 274d | Kindermaxi | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | SellYes>99¢ | $2,186 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 274d |  Debosnys | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,174 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 274d | Each-Bench2 fills | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,681 | +$114 +1.5% | 5 |
| 274d | dmg | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,444 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 274d |  youngsoros | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,906 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 274d | FlyingPlaty2 fills | Emmanuel Macron | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,460 | +$10 +0.3% | 4 |
| 274d |  Infringe | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,150 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 274d | bamesjond4 fills | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $11,166 | +$216 +1.9% | 5 |
| 274d | Cassiopeian | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,490 | +$32 +0.7% | 4 |
| 274d |  MasonsConqueredRome | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,139 | +$20 +0.9% | 4 |
| 274d | bamesjond | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,339 | −$225 −5.2% | — |
| 274d |  Trading4Fridge | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$152 +14% | 7 |
| 274d | Basquo4 fills | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | BuyNo83¢ → 0¢ | $6,949 | −$6,949 −100% | 9 |
| 274d |  Gl4d | Javier Milei | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,284 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 274d |  Robbb | Javier Milei | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,862 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 274d | M888 | Javier Milei | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | +$22 +2.0% | 5 |
| 274d | Kindermaxi | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,144 | +$44 +2.1% | 5 |
| 275d | FlyingPlaty | Abdel Fattah El-Sisi | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,723 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 275d | FlyingPlaty | Guy Parmelin | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,647 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 275d | Trading4Fridge | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | −$201 −19% | — |
| 275d | Laurenman | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $5,522 | −$5,522 −100% | 4 |
| 275d | youngsoros | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $2,974 | −$2,974 −100% | 4 |
Kiwyiy1,985 sharesThe World Economic Forum takes place in Davos, Switzerland from January 19 - January 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the named individuals who shake Trump's hand between market creation and January 23, 2026, 11:59PM ET in Davos, Switzerland. Any handshakes which take place in locations other than Davos, Switzerland will not qualify towards the resolution of this market. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. The resolution source will be photo or video.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Volodymyr Zelenskyy means the market gives it about 100%.