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Polymarket wallet 0x0260366a9add43c25d4f4d35d2210526c6750d88 · on Polymarket since Jul 17, 2025 · also shown as Noted-Shop
No hedge full bond
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 11,800 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $9,735 | −$218 −2.2% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 5,000 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $4,575 | +$75 +1.7% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 4,500 | 85¢ → 83¢ | $3,712 | −$92 −2.4% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 2,000 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $1,830 | −$10 −0.5% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2,000 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $1,730 | +$10 +0.6% |
| Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 105 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $99 | +$4 +3.8% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.