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Polymarket wallet 0xf4d05c525a36c8d010bc1dc4305140eccbcb5b3a · on Polymarket since Feb 12, 2025 · also shown as Careful-Futon
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump shake hands with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the World Economic Forum?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,640 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$222 −100% |
| Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm RFK Jr?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 513 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 268d | Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January? | BuyNo1¢ | $76 |
| 268d | Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January? | BuyNo1¢ | $10 |
| 268d | Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January? | BuyNo1¢ | $15 |
| 274d | Will Trump shake hands with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the World Economic Forum? | BuyNo<1¢ | $22 |
| 274d | Will Trump shake hands with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the World Economic Forum? | BuyNo87¢ | $94 |
| 274d | Will Trump shake hands with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the World Economic Forum? | BuyNo85¢ | $106 |
| 274d | Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum? | SellYes>99¢ | $695 |
| 275d | Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum? | BuyYes77¢ | $535 |
| 275d | Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum? | BuyYes73¢ | $5 |
| 275d | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | SellNo95¢ | $540 |
| 275d | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ | $541 |
| 275d | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | SellNo74¢ | $541 |
| 276d | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo79¢ | $578 |
| 618d | Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm RFK Jr? | BuyYes12¢ | $64 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.