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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 771d | CYQ-721 | Who will win the debate according to polls? | SellKamala>99¢ | $2,243 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 771d |  iamhungry | Who will win the debate according to polls? | SellKamala>99¢ | $1,110 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 771d |  redbloodzcell | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala>99¢ | $8,710 | +$17 +0.2% | 10 |
| 771d | professorx | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala>99¢ | $9,035 | +$9 +0.1% | 10 |
| 771d |  🍝👹 | Who will win the debate according to polls? | SellKamala>99¢ | $2,004 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 771d |  carp | Who will win the debate according to polls? | SellKamala>99¢ | $12,759 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 771d | ACat-367 | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala>99¢ | $2,704 | +$10 +0.4% | 10 |
| 771d |  ImJustKen | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $10,887 | +$55 +0.5% | 10 |
| 771d |  milize | Who will win the debate according to polls? | SellKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $9,177 | −$83 −0.9% | — |
| 771d | MHR-285 | Who will win the debate according to polls? | SellKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $2,159 | −$20 −0.9% | — |
| 771d | disko | Who will win the debate according to polls? | SellKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $7,395 | −$105 −1.4% | — |
| 771d |  AvocadoLu | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $1,994 | +$24 +1.2% | 10 |
| 771d | iamhungry | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $1,369 | +$15 +1.1% | 10 |
| 771d | Lopgft | Who will win the debate according to polls? | SellKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $6,951 | −$70 −1.0% | — |
| 771d | acctpoly | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $8,898 | +$85 +1.0% | 10 |
| 771d |  BlackSky123 | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $9,900 | +$100 +1.0% | 10 |
| 771d |  aenews24 fills | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala89¢ → 100¢ | $14,158 | +$1,682 +12% | 10 |
| 772d | BlackSky123 | Who will win the debate according to polls? | SellKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $1,193 | −$17 −1.4% | — |
| 772d | Qtyu | Who will win the debate according to polls? | SellKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $1,575 | −$22 −1.4% | — |
| 772d |  LowValue | Who will win the debate according to polls? | SellKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $4,866 | −$69 −1.4% | — |
| 772d |  RememberAmalek2 fills | Who will win the debate according to polls? | SellKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $11,747 | −$166 −1.4% | — |
| 772d |  scottilicious4 fills | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $50,437 | +$532 +1.1% | 10 |
| 772d | Breezy-Entrance | Who will win the debate according to polls? | SellKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $18,414 | −$243 −1.3% | — |
| 772d | JJMORSON | Who will win the debate according to polls? | SellKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $2,485 | −$30 −1.2% | — |
| 772d | jl3128776 | Who will win the debate according to polls? | SellKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $9,716 | −$118 −1.2% | — |
| 772d | WEREALLYOUTHERE | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $4,955 | +$45 +0.9% | 10 |
| 772d | ACat-367 | Who will win the debate according to polls? | SellKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | −$14 −1.3% | — |
| 772d |  ANudeEgg | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $1,649 | +$13 +0.8% | 10 |
| 772d | Qtyu | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $1,583 | +$14 +0.9% | 10 |
| 772d |  xoxoxololxo | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $2,226 | +$25 +1.1% | 10 |
| 772d |  mrtrump | Who will win the debate according to polls? | SellKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $2,814 | −$31 −1.1% | — |
| 772d | RougeVert | Who will win the debate according to polls? | SellKamala98¢ → 100¢ | $1,357 | −$26 −1.9% | — |
| 772d |  LastChanceSaloon | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$24 +1.2% | 10 |
| 772d | madkkee2 fills | Who will win the debate according to polls? | SellKamala98¢ → 100¢ | $9,324 | −$175 −1.9% | — |
| 772d | hellohellohello-794 | Who will win the debate according to polls? | SellKamala98¢ → 100¢ | $1,450 | −$28 −1.9% | — |
| 772d | GigiPirri | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $1,413 | +$22 +1.5% | 10 |
| 772d |  50Whence2 fills | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala96¢ → 100¢ | $3,664 | +$149 +4.1% | 10 |
| 772d |  EdgyUsername | Who will win the debate according to polls? | SellKamala98¢ → 100¢ | $1,460 | −$30 −2.0% | — |
| 772d | Trump2032-365 | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala98¢ → 100¢ | $9,390 | +$158 +1.7% | 10 |
| 772d |  JackTorrance | Who will win the debate according to polls? | SellKamala98¢ → 100¢ | $1,349 | −$29 −2.1% | — |
| 772d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Who will win the debate according to polls? | SellKamala98¢ → 100¢ | $2,783 | −$63 −2.2% | — |
| 772d |  frenchlaundry | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala97¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | +$27 +2.7% | 10 |
| 773d | mrtrump2 fills | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala98¢ → 100¢ | $16,974 | +$434 +2.6% | 10 |
| 773d | cqs | Who will win the debate according to polls? | SellKamala97¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | −$33 −3.2% | — |
| 773d | LowValue | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala97¢ → 100¢ | $8,548 | +$264 +3.1% | 10 |
| 773d | cowcat | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala95¢ → 100¢ | $2,722 | +$143 +5.3% | 10 |
| 773d |  Mr-Yolos | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala95¢ → 100¢ | $5,864 | +$309 +5.3% | 10 |
| 773d | AJM96 | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala95¢ → 100¢ | $1,431 | +$75 +5.3% | 10 |
| 773d |  Car | Who will win the debate according to polls? | SellKamala94¢ → 100¢ | $1,418 | −$90 −6.4% | — |
| 773d | aenews22 fills | Who will win the debate according to polls? | SellKamala94¢ → 100¢ | $59,006 | −$3,758 −6.4% | — |
| 773d | big6big8 | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala86¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$814 +16% | 10 |
| 773d | carp | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala86¢ → 100¢ | $6,388 | +$1,040 +16% | 10 |
| 773d | vegetarian772 fills | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala80¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$2,034 +25% | 10 |
| 773d | enerji | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyTrump44¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 10 |
| 773d | ihzan | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyTrump30¢ → 0¢ | $24,926 | −$24,926 −100% | 23 |
| 773d |  MarekyMarek | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala79¢ → 100¢ | $1,580 | +$420 +27% | 10 |
| 773d | RememberAmalek3 fills | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala75¢ → 100¢ | $13,262 | +$4,342 +33% | 10 |
| 773d |  snakether | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyTrump22¢ → 0¢ | $1,382 | −$1,382 −100% | 12 |
| 773d | 🍝👹 | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala79¢ → 100¢ | $1,610 | +$428 +27% | 10 |
| 773d | lug | Who will win the debate according to polls? | BuyKamala78¢ → 100¢ | $4,680 | +$1,320 +28% | 10 |
This market will resolve to "Kamala" if Ipsos/538's opinion poll indicates Kamala Harris won the ABC-hosted debate against Donald Trump scheduled for September 10, 2024. This market will resolve to "Trump" if Ipsos/538 opinion poll indicates Donald Trump won. If the results are tied, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve to whichever candidate has a higher percentage than the other for the question regarding who performed better in the debate, or who won the debate. Other portions of the Ipsos/538 release will not be considered for this market. If this debate is cancelled, otherwise rescheduled, or does not take place by September 17, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the results of Ipsos/538's first opinion poll over who won or performed better in the debate released after its conclusion. If Ipsos/538 does not release a poll within a week of the debate (currently September 17, 11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve based on polls from YouGov. If YouGov also hasn't released a poll within a week of the debate, this market will resolve to "50-50".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.