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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Ciotti | 100% | +11 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Christian Estrosi | 0% | −10 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jean-Marc Governatori | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Juliette Chesnel-Leroux | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mireille Damiano | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 212d | Damogwai8 | Eric Ciotti | SellYes>99¢ | $9,277 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 212d | vinunited | Christian Estrosi | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 212d | vinunited2 fills | Eric Ciotti | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,874 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 213d | Hpp3 | Christian Estrosi | SellNo>99¢ | $1,992 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 214d | Martinette | Eric Ciotti | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,197 | +$6 +0.2% | 10 |
| 214d | uprightuser | Eric Ciotti | SellYes>99¢ | $1,955 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 214d | PillYverse | Eric Ciotti | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,213 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 214d | StudentMoney2 fills | Christian Estrosi | SellNo>99¢ | $7,344 | −$16 −0.2% | — |
| 214d | BISTURI | Eric Ciotti | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,500 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 215d | wizwot | Eric Ciotti | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,449 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 215d | uprightuser | Christian Estrosi | SellNo>99¢ | $2,213 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 215d | OLOTH2 fills | Eric Ciotti | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,561 | +$11 +0.1% | 10 |
| 215d | OLOTH2 fills | Christian Estrosi | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,390 | +$15 +0.1% | 10 |
| 215d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito2 fills | Eric Ciotti | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,126 | +$172 +2.8% | 10 |
| 216d | StudentMoney | Christian Estrosi | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,934 | +$63 +2.2% | 10 |
| 216d | StudentMoney | Eric Ciotti | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | +$73 +3.2% | 10 |
| 216d | Tixor3 fills | Eric Ciotti | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $6,755 | +$431 +6.4% | 10 |
| 217d | Damogwai8 | Eric Ciotti | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,000 | +$286 +3.2% | 10 |
| 217d | Tixor3 fills | Eric Ciotti | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $7,911 | −$830 −10% | — |
| 217d | Puzzled-BottomNew account | Eric Ciotti | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,424 | −$91 −6.4% | — |
| 218d | Generallyyy | Eric Ciotti | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$131 +8.8% | 10 |
| 219d |  Euphemism | Eric Ciotti | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$89 +8.7% | 10 |
| 222d | DonaldinhoTrumpito | Christian Estrosi | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,214 | +$205 +17% | 10 |
| 235d | Utoya2 fills | Eric Ciotti | BuyYes48¢ → 100¢ | $3,147 | +$3,445 +109% | 10 |
| 251d |  nicoco892 fills | Juliette Chesnel-Leroux | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,273 | +$39 +1.7% | 10 |
| 254d |  flow-trader-at-optiver | Juliette Chesnel-Leroux | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,848 | +$7 +0.4% | 10 |
| 254d | flow-trader-at-optiver | Mireille Damiano | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,853 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 254d | flow-trader-at-optiver | Jean-Marc Governatori | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,852 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
The 2026 Nice municipal election is scheduled for May 15 and May 22, 2026. The Mayor of Nice, France is elected via a three-round system; if no candidate obtains an absolute majority after two rounds of voting the election proceeds to a third round which requires only a simple majority. In case of a tie, the oldest candidate wins. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior (élections.interieur.gouv.fr).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Eric Ciotti means the market gives it about 100%.