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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wang Huning | 3% | −2 pts | −2 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | $48.1 | in 69d |
| Wang Yi | 4% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 5¢ (3¢) | $48 | in 69d |
| Zhao Leji | 4% | −1 pts | +2 pts | 3¢ · 4¢ (2¢) | $39.9 | in 69d |
| Ding Xuexiang | 4% | — | 0 pts | 4¢ · 4¢ (<1¢) | $12.1 | in 69d |
| Li Xi | 5% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 6¢ (4¢) | $8.55 | in 69d |
| Dong Jun | 5% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 3¢ · 7¢ (4¢) | $2.06 | in 69d |
| Cai Qi | 3% | — | +1 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $1.03 | in 69d |
| Zhang Shengmin | 2% | — | 0 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $1.02 | in 69d |
| Li Qiang | 4% | +2 pts | +2 pts | 1¢ · 8¢ (7¢) | $1.01 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25d | werffdsfa | Ding Xuexiang | BuyNo97¢ → 96¢ | $1,931 | −$23 −1.2% | 6 |
| 26d | bluemario | Dong Jun | BuyNo92¢ → 95¢ | $3,560 | +$118 +3.3% | 9 |
| 29d | wasabi. | Dong Jun | SellNo87¢ → 95¢ | $3,426 | −$330 −9.6% | — |
| 118d |  archaic | Zhao Leji | BuyNo94¢ → 96¢ | $1,116 | +$35 +3.1% | 8 |
| 175d | wasabi. | Wang Huning | SellNo96¢ → 97¢ | $1,712 | −$21 −1.3% | — |
| 189d | Rapid-Jicama | Dong Jun | SellNo84¢ → 95¢ | $1,247 | −$161 −13% | — |
| 195d | wasabi. | Wang Huning | BuyNo97¢ | $1,217 | −$1 −0.1% | 6 |
| 202d | Rapid-Jicama | Dong Jun | BuyNo82¢ → 95¢ | $1,687 | +$260 +15% | 16 |
| 251d |  Kaiyunman | Ding Xuexiang | SellNo94¢ → 96¢ | $1,222 | −$22 −1.8% | — |
| 252d | Kaiyunman | Ding Xuexiang | BuyNo93¢ → 96¢ | $1,200 | +$43 +3.6% | 9 |
| 256d | xcnstrategy | Zhao Leji | BuyNo90¢ → 96¢ | $1,619 | +$115 +7.1% | 11 |
Nadmi279 shares
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sneake100 shares
0xrc82 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor. 2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect. A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for Wang Huning means the market gives it about 3%.