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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 282d |  aenews23 fills | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyNo>99¢ | $74,682 | +$80 +0.1% | 4 |
| 282d | ForFamily | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,550 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 282d |  humanbeans | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,288 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 283d |  White.Monster | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,899 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 285d |  gopfan29 fills | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $68,510 | −$2,397 −3.5% | — |
| 285d |  =3= | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,695 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 285d |  arjennnnn | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,323 | −$10 −0.3% | — |
| 285d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly3 fills | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $42,869 | −$4,328 −10% | — |
| 286d | 17c5 | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,890 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 286d | 6ca32 fills | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,888 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 286d | f911bd2 fills | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,095 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 286d | pantomime | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $35,104 | +$212 +0.6% | 4 |
| 287d |  Strider-1 | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,900 | +$42 +0.7% | 4 |
| 288d | gopfan210 fills | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $33,363 | +$4,724 +14% | 4 |
| 289d |  studmuffin69692 fills | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,957 | −$521 −18% | — |
| 295d |  CPU | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,448 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 296d | erik50 | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,100 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 |
| 298d |  shiepapito | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | −$20 −0.8% | — |
| 299d |  OneBadBet | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SellNo100¢ | $1,493 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 299d |  Martiini | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $58,544 | +$651 +1.1% | 4 |
| 300d | shiepapito | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | +$22 +1.1% | 4 |
| 301d | ChampaLiberation2 fills | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,264 | +$36 +1.1% | 4 |
| 307d | studmuffin6969 | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | +$22 +1.1% | 4 |
| 307d | 3874110074156118140922178973873 fills | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,143 | +$57 +1.1% | 4 |
| 308d |  TradeDeficitArchitect3 fills | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $12,916 | +$267 +2.1% | 4 |
| 315d |  NotOver2 fills | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,657 | +$74 +1.1% | 4 |
| 318d | pushpushino | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,888 | +$32 +1.1% | 4 |
| 333d | Whaile | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | +$19 +1.8% | 4 |
| 335d | aviato | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,342 | −$38 −2.8% | — |
| 343d | CPU | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,076 | +$83 +2.7% | 4 |
| 372d | pollyanna928kirstin | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,840 | −$123 −3.2% | — |
| 372d | pollyanna928kirstin | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,880 | +$83 +2.1% | 4 |
| 381d | k00pa | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,954 | +$46 +2.4% | 4 |
| 398d | peet-752 | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,103 | −$27 −2.4% | — |
| 436d | ZOVENJOYER | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,855 | +$87 +4.7% | 4 |
| 449d | Kapii | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $6,510 | −$490 −7.5% | — |
| 450d |  AlmostAndy8 fills | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $17,772 | +$8,637 +49% | 4 |
| 461d |  IamNotGood | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,217 | −$317 −7.5% | — |
| 485d | NicoL | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyYes9¢ → 0¢ | $1,220 | −$1,220 −100% | 6 |
| 489d | shrosenb | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyYes10¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 497d |  tzar4real | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,275 | +$225 +9.9% | 4 |
| 506d | Jackwin | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyYes11¢ → 0¢ | $2,184 | −$2,184 −100% | 10 |
| 521d |  Stinkyrock | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SellYes11¢ → 0¢ | $1,044 | +$1,044 +100% | — |
| 522d | UserNotTaken | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyYes18¢ → 0¢ | $1,639 | −$1,639 −100% | 7 |
| 544d |  emoney | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SellNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | −$383 −37% | — |
| 548d | Kapii6 fills | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SellYes32¢ → 0¢ | $20,062 | +$20,062 +100% | — |
| 548d | AlmostAndy2 fills | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $17,968 | −$5,874 −33% | — |
| 565d | TradeDeficitArchitect | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SellYes26¢ → 0¢ | $1,696 | +$1,696 +100% | — |
| 574d | gopfan27 fills | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SellYes36¢ → 0¢ | $26,742 | +$26,742 +100% | — |
| 575d | TradeDeficitArchitect | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $3,553 | −$3,553 −100% | 8 |
| 583d | Nowhere-Man | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SellNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,346 | −$868 −65% | — |
| 584d | aenews24 fills | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SellNo66¢ → 100¢ | $20,506 | −$10,503 −51% | — |
| 591d | gopfan27 fills | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $21,507 | −$21,507 −100% | 12 |
| 598d |  donkeykongnig | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SellNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,213 | −$571 −47% | — |
| 601d | donkeykongnig | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | +$660 +59% | 4 |
| 601d |  DemonCore | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | −$510 −43% | — |
| 604d | Nowhere-Man2 fills | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $22,611 | +$14,141 +63% | 4 |
| 607d | jatkinson713 fills | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $21,729 | −$21,729 −100% | 7 |
| 607d | jatkinson71 | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SellYes21¢ → 0¢ | $2,291 | +$2,291 +100% | — |
| 611d | Orion96 | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | SellNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | −$405 −37% | — |
Realdonaldtrump155,501 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any previously recorded year when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly greater than that of any previously recorded year for 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for 2024 and/or 2025 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2025 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.