| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 33,577 | 84¢ → 89¢ | $29,716 | +$1,518 +5.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 7,160 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $6,766 | +$425 +6.7% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 3,471 | 60¢ → 60¢ | $2,065 | −$15 −0.7% |
| Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,182 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $2,008 | +$79 +4.1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5,003 | 20¢ → 20¢ | $976 | −$45 −4.4% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6,673 | 12¢ → 10¢ | $634 | −$181 −22% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6,605 | 7¢ → 9¢ | $611 | +$116 +24% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 609 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $584 | +$73 +14% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 8,509 | 33¢ → 5¢ | $383 | −$2,436 −86% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5,025 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $299 | −$28 −8.6% |
| Will Harry Shum Jr. win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Ends in 68d | No | 263 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $253 | +$23 +9.8% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 502 | 47¢ → 50¢ | $248 | +$10 +4.4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,909 | 18¢ → 9¢ | $247 | −$278 −53% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3,865 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $187 | +$10 +5.4% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 517 | 23¢ → 22¢ | $114 | −$5 −4.6% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,591 | 18¢ → 7¢ | $103 | −$175 −63% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4,033 | 17¢ → 2¢ | $83 | −$593 −88% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 8,609 | 9¢ → 1¢ | $73 | −$692 −90% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 300 | 45¢ → 23¢ | $68 | −$68 −50% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 127 | 31¢ → 53¢ | $67 | +$27 +69% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 873 | 8¢ → 8¢ | $65 | −$1 −1.8% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 500 | 6¢ → 9¢ | $43 | +$13 +42% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3,048 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $41 | −$75 −65% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 4d | Yes | 208 | 74¢ → 19¢ | $39 | −$116 −75% |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 500 | 16¢ → 4¢ | $21 | −$56 −72% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 500 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $16 | −$2 −12% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 500 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $15 | −$2 −11% |
| Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 104 | 23¢ → 10¢ | $10 | −$13 −56% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,000 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $10 | −$7 −41% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 960 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$6 −63% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 25 | 14¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$3 −80% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 62 | 23¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Solana reach $150 in January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 830 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$140 −100% |
| Will Trump deport less than 250,000?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,656 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$585 −100% |
| Will Jensen Huang attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22,970 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,431 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 733 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 564 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 722 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,169 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,155 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,029 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$551 −100% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7,489 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,356 −100% |
| Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 283 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 416 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be less than 1.0%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 637 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| ETH flipped in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,845 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$71 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11,136 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,973 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,178 −100% |
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 98 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 721 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$83 −100% |
| Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 382 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Semiconductor" or "Chip" during events with South Korean president on August 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 516 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Will Nikita Bier be the next CEO of X?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,439 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$79 −100% |
| Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Will Mahmoud Reza Banki be the next CEO of X?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 56 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 247 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,600 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$76 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Will anyone say "Squid Game" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 195 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,232 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$435 −100% |
| Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$112 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,799 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$607 −100% |
| Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 182 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,448 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,232 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$951 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$55 −100% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 483 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Tucker Carlson attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 828 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$115 −100% |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 520 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,279 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$163 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,270 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$155 −100% |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,199 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11,451 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$575 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,429 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$291 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 323 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$251 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 339 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 140 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$83 −100% |
| Ghislaine Maxwell released from custody in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 139 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 138 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 509 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 28 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 28 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,231 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,256 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$335 −100% |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 660 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$441 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,856 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$662 −100% |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionSettled - ready to redeem | Yes | 499 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$246 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,013 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 166 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,828 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$812 −100% |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,775 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$197 −100% |
| Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20,370 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,741 −100% |
| Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 962 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will the US loose jobs in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,583 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$179 −100% |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 103 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$95 −100% |
| Will Gianni Infantino attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
