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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2026 | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 31, 2026 | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| December 31, 2025 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 30, 2025 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 243d |  1485727384844 fills | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,417 | +$42 +0.2% | 4 |
| 243d | 148572738484 | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,737 | +$40 +0.2% | 4 |
| 245d |  TeemuPukki | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,564 | +$11 +0.3% | 4 |
| 246d | 148572738484 | June 30, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,201 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 249d |  Big.Chungus | June 30, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,992 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 251d | Ajjooli | June 30, 2026 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,209 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 252d |  iutwpfal | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,290 | +$17 +0.7% | 4 |
| 252d |  WalterSobchack2 fills | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,555 | +$57 +1.3% | 4 |
| 253d | iamgone | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,166 | +$49 +0.8% | 4 |
| 260d | iutwpfal | March 31, 2026 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,195 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 269d | iutwpfal | June 30, 2026 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | −$18 −1.7% | — |
| 269d |  Car | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,099 | +$72 +2.3% | 4 |
| 281d | iutwpfal | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | +$43 +3.8% | 4 |
| 296d | aviato | December 31, 2025 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 297d |  Flowrence2 fills | December 31, 2025 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,848 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 298d | zaogao1 | March 31, 2026 | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $2,273 | −$679 −30% | — |
| 298d | yanyan1 | March 31, 2026 | SellYes76¢ → 100¢ | $2,555 | −$807 −32% | — |
| 298d | lilei11 | March 31, 2026 | SellYes76¢ → 100¢ | $2,336 | −$738 −32% | — |
| 298d | zaogao1 | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $2,244 | +$708 +32% | 4 |
| 298d | yanyan1 | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $2,555 | +$807 +32% | 4 |
| 298d | lilei11 | March 31, 2026 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $2,336 | +$738 +32% | 4 |
| 301d |  archaic | December 31, 2025 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,853 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 303d |  twe2nty | December 31, 2025 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,198 | +$9 +0.4% | 4 |
| 304d | archaic2 fills | December 31, 2025 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,854 | +$135 +4.7% | 4 |
| 328d |  Gnarls | November 30, 2025 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,104 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 331d |  bondoor | November 30, 2025 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,987 | +$13 +0.2% | 4 |
| 337d | JoFilo | March 31, 2026 | SellNo44¢ → 0¢ | $3,034 | +$3,034 +100% | — |
| 344d | JoFilo | March 31, 2026 | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $3,570 | −$3,570 −100% | 4 |
| 359d | Infatuated-Understatement | December 31, 2025 | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $6,004 | +$1,896 +32% | 9 |
| 359d |  lmtfalone | November 30, 2025 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,548 | +$56 +3.6% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new Cabinet of the Netherlands is officially sworn in by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, a newly formed government, headed by a Prime Minister and composed of appointed ministers must be sworn in before the monarch within this markets timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Netherlands, the Staatscourant, or the Royal House (koninklijkhuis.nl); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for June 30, 2026 means the market gives it about 100%.