| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,391 | 55¢ → 77¢ | $1,074 | +$304 +39% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 845 | 75¢ → 94¢ | $790 | +$158 +25% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 862 | 60¢ → 89¢ | $763 | +$244 +47% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 4,872 | 25¢ → 15¢ | $719 | −$513 −42% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,139 | 30¢ → 23¢ | $706 | −$235 −25% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 810 | 71¢ → 84¢ | $677 | +$101 +18% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1165d | No | 860 | 68¢ → 77¢ | $658 | +$72 +12% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 631 | 52¢ → 83¢ | $521 | +$195 +60% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 622 | 62¢ → 83¢ | $513 | +$126 +32% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 642 | 75¢ → 80¢ | $510 | +$28 +5.8% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 488 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $465 | +$18 +4.0% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 990 | 46¢ → 46¢ | $458 | +$2 +0.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 506 | 74¢ → 81¢ | $407 | +$31 +8.3% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 391 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $381 | +$3 +0.9% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 404 | 66¢ → 91¢ | $366 | +$99 +37% |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | No | 412 | 69¢ → 87¢ | $356 | +$73 +26% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 534 | 52¢ → 67¢ | $355 | +$75 +27% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 650 | 46¢ → 53¢ | $341 | +$42 +14% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 427 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $337 | −$2 −0.5% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 415 | 78¢ → 77¢ | $318 | −$5 −1.7% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,694 | 48¢ → 18¢ | $297 | −$517 −64% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 4,296 | 12¢ → 7¢ | $294 | −$202 −41% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 50¢ → 95¢ | $283 | +$133 +89% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 365 | 74¢ → 78¢ | $283 | +$12 +4.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 860 | 46¢ → 33¢ | $279 | −$117 −30% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 309 | 70¢ → 85¢ | $261 | +$46 +21% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 497 | 45¢ → 52¢ | $258 | +$34 +15% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 297 | 56¢ → 86¢ | $254 | +$88 +53% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,184 | 23¢ → 21¢ | $243 | −$29 −11% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 214 | 75¢ → 93¢ | $200 | +$38 +24% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $194 | +$28 +17% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1165d | Yes | 782 | 26¢ → 24¢ | $184 | −$19 −9.4% |
| Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | No | 182 | 60¢ → >99¢ | $182 | +$73 +67% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 523 | 41¢ → 33¢ | $170 | −$45 −21% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | No | 450 | 50¢ → 34¢ | $151 | −$74 −33% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 242 | 51¢ → 54¢ | $130 | +$8 +6.3% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 1,308 | 20¢ → 10¢ | $124 | −$134 −52% |
| Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Ends in 85d | Yes | 180 | 69¢ → 69¢ | $123 | −$1 −1.0% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 117 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $114 | +$4 +3.5% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 117 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $113 | +$14 +14% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | Yes | 618 | 38¢ → 18¢ | $108 | −$126 −54% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 612 | 20¢ → 18¢ | $107 | −$16 −13% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 108 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $104 | +$9 +9.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 874 | 33¢ → 12¢ | $100 | −$185 −65% |
| Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | No | 100 | 77¢ → >99¢ | $100 | +$23 +30% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 423 | 32¢ → 24¢ | $99 | −$35 −26% |
| Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 91 | 76¢ → 97¢ | $89 | +$19 +28% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 180 | 49¢ → 48¢ | $87 | −$2 −1.9% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 395 | 25¢ → 21¢ | $83 | −$14 −14% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 164 | 51¢ → 49¢ | $81 | −$3 −3.7% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 150 | 48¢ → 51¢ | $76 | +$4 +5.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 91 | 50¢ → 82¢ | $75 | +$29 +65% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 413 | 27¢ → 17¢ | $68 | −$42 −38% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 340 | 37¢ → 20¢ | $66 | −$59 −47% |
| Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Ends in 85d | No | 86 | 65¢ → 76¢ | $65 | +$10 +17% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 263 | 47¢ → 23¢ | $60 | −$64 −52% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 3,145 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $55 | −$149 −73% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 107 | 54¢ → 48¢ | $51 | −$7 −12% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $49 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 71¢ → 99¢ | $49 | +$14 +38% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 58 | 71¢ → 85¢ | $49 | +$8 +20% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 294 | 35¢ → 15¢ | $45 | −$59 −57% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | No | 255 | 46¢ → 14¢ | $37 | −$79 −68% |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 262 | 21¢ → 14¢ | $35 | −$21 −37% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 52 | 51¢ → 68¢ | $35 | +$8 +31% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 694 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $33 | −$10 −23% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | No | 489 | 40¢ → 7¢ | $32 | −$162 −84% |
| Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Ends in 85d | No | 94 | 37¢ → 32¢ | $30 | −$5 −15% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 28 | 62¢ → 94¢ | $26 | +$9 +52% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 105 | 49¢ → 18¢ | $19 | −$32 −63% |
| Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Ends in 85d | Yes | 70 | 42¢ → 24¢ | $17 | −$12 −43% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 300 | 50¢ → 6¢ | $17 | −$133 −89% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 646 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $16 | −$0 −2.3% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 16 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $15 | +$1 +4.8% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 1,899 | 17¢ → 1¢ | $14 | −$301 −95% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 134 | 24¢ → 11¢ | $14 | −$18 −56% |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 595 | 13¢ → 2¢ | $14 | −$61 −81% |
| Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 11 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $11 | +$1 +8.2% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 11 | 61¢ → >99¢ | $11 | +$4 +63% |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,166 | 17¢ → 1¢ | $8 | −$194 −96% |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $6 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 81 | 17¢ → 4¢ | $3 | −$11 −78% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3 | 40¢ → 77¢ | $2 | +$1 +92% |
| SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 30¢ → 22¢ | $2 | −$1 −28% |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 871 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$11 −86% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 2 | 76¢ → 82¢ | $1 | +$0 +6.7% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 42 | 29¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$11 −89% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 15 | 5¢ → 7¢ | $1 | +$0 +39% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 40 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −36% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 19 | 21¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$4 −89% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 2 | 27¢ → 16¢ | $0 | −$0 −43% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$0 −40% |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 218 | 26¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 166 | 17¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 11 | 23¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −98% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 3?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,602 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$927 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 8?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 123 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$62 −100% |
