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Polymarket wallet 0x3dc88a0ef6aac3cd4320a9b343d6e1ea4eb7bdd3 · on Polymarket since Oct 16, 2024 · also shown as Narrow-Fir
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 221 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $221 | +$21 +10% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 136 | 74¢ → 100¢ | $136 | +$36 +36% |
| U.S. military action against Iran in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 117 | 85¢ → 100¢ | $117 | +$17 +17% |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 112 | 89¢ → 100¢ | $112 | +$12 +12% |
| Will Biden finish his term?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 57 | 87¢ → 100¢ | $57 | +$7 +15% |
| Trump wins every swing state?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 290 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 279 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$101 −100% |
| Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 556 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 719d | Will Biden finish his term? | BuyYes87¢ | $50 |
| 730d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyNo36¢ | $100 |
| 730d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BuyNo74¢ | $100 |
| 730d | Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states? | BuyYes9¢ | $50 |
| 730d | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyNo89¢ | $100 |
| 730d | Israel strikes Iranian oil in October? | BuyNo89¢ | $150 |
| 730d | U.S. military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyNo85¢ | $100 |
| 730d | U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo91¢ | $200 |
| 730d | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyNo69¢ | $200 |
| 730d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyNo36¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.