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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | +24 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 67d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 139d | Kevindoto | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,548 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 141d | Baggy-Alder | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 141d | Jaunty-Fog | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | SellYes>99¢ | $8,578 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 141d |  Rex416 | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 141d |  Arbguy | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | SellYes>99¢ | $5,952 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 141d |  yen4u | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,842 | −$131 −4.6% | — |
| 141d | Kevindoto | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,625 | +$68 +4.2% | 10 |
| 141d |  .ethguy | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,153 | +$116 +5.4% | 10 |
| 141d | Arbguy | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | +$86 +7.7% | 10 |
| 141d | alliswell | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,374 | +$173 +7.3% | 10 |
| 141d | yen4u3 fills | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $12,736 | +$1,252 +9.8% | 10 |
| 141d |  ScottyNooo2 fills | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $20,414 | +$1,232 +6.0% | 10 |
| 141d | Trustinghorse | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,661 | +$35 +2.1% | 10 |
| 144d | Rex416 | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | +$365 +34% | 10 |
| 154d | littlebigplanet | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | SellNo41¢ → 0¢ | $1,037 | +$1,037 +100% | — |
| 155d | renobadino | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | SellYes33¢ → 100¢ | $1,321 | −$2,667 −202% | — |
| 155d | David0x | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,277 | +$625 +49% | 10 |
| 155d |  N0stradumba552 fills | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | SellYes33¢ → 100¢ | $5,811 | −$11,921 −205% | — |
| 155d | Odysseus73 fills | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $9,845 | +$3,261 +33% | 10 |
| 156d | randyrandyrandy | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BuyNo35¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 11 |
| 156d | lug | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | SellNo26¢ → 0¢ | $2,062 | +$2,062 +100% | — |
| 156d | 0xe58d…d791 | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | SellYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,153 | −$689 −60% | — |
| 157d | 0xc8c4…1893 | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | SellYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | −$740 −59% | — |
| 158d |  mrworldwide | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,314 | +$1,374 +105% | 10 |
| 164d | groth | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BuyNo44¢ → 0¢ | $2,934 | −$2,934 −100% | 11 |
| 169d |  toutiege | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | SellNo42¢ → 0¢ | $2,505 | +$2,505 +100% | — |
| 171d | Weekly-Newsstand | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | SellYes55¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | −$882 −80% | — |
| 177d | viperr | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,683 | +$1,125 +67% | 10 |
| 190d | buoys | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | SellYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,301 | −$732 −56% | — |
| 196d | rodddiaz1 | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | SellYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,152 | −$693 −60% | — |
| 196d | Alive-Gumshoe | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $2,049 | −$745 −36% | — |
| 205d |  MakingTheMarket | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | SellNo33¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | +$1,250 +100% | — |
| 205d |  anotherpatrick | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | SellNo34¢ → 0¢ | $4,264 | +$4,264 +100% | — |
| 206d | MakingTheMarket | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$495 +49% | 10 |
| 206d | MakingTheMarket | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | SellYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,584 | −$816 −52% | — |
| 206d | revivalshadow | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | SellYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | −$495 −49% | — |
| 206d | anotherpatrick | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $4,039 | −$4,039 −100% | 15 |
| 206d | idfinsider0228 | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $3,594 | +$1,852 +52% | 10 |
| 245d |  winnings | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,308 | +$465 +36% | 10 |
| 272d | stonefield92 | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $5,149 | −$5,149 −100% | 10 |
yesworld2821,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.