| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 73d | No | 26,700 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $22,562 | +$279 +1.3% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20,104 | 89¢ → 100¢ | $20,104 | +$2,203 +12% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 20,559 | 81¢ → 90¢ | $18,400 | +$1,768 +11% |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Ends in 11h | No | 10,205 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $10,062 | +$1,012 +11% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 4,500 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $4,358 | +$458 +12% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 438d | No | 4,721 | 23¢ → 50¢ | $2,337 | +$1,241 +113% |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 3,136 | 16¢ → 69¢ | $2,164 | +$1,676 +343% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,720 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $1,720 | +$29 +1.7% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 438d | No | 4,004 | 21¢ → 39¢ | $1,541 | +$717 +87% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,500 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $1,313 | +$23 +1.7% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 12d | No | 1,300 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $1,266 | +$27 +2.2% |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 1,104 | 72¢ → 97¢ | $1,070 | +$277 +35% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 77d | No | 3,333 | 19¢ → 32¢ | $1,050 | +$423 +67% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,029 | 92¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | +$82 +8.7% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 77¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$230 +30% |
| Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 1,000 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $988 | +$60 +6.4% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 16d | No | 1,500 | 64¢ → 65¢ | $968 | +$8 +0.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 2,373 | 59¢ → 40¢ | $955 | −$442 −32% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 77d | No | 2,200 | 33¢ → 43¢ | $946 | +$218 +30% |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Ends in 438d | Yes | 2,699 | 21¢ → 35¢ | $931 | +$362 +64% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 77d | No | 1,110 | 51¢ → 75¢ | $833 | +$266 +47% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 1,017 | 47¢ → 77¢ | $783 | +$303 +63% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 77d | No | 5,109 | 10¢ → 15¢ | $766 | +$261 +52% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 753 | 77¢ → 92¢ | $689 | +$109 +19% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 72d | Yes | 1,312 | 48¢ → 51¢ | $662 | +$33 +5.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 5,480 | 55¢ → 12¢ | $658 | −$2,331 −78% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 893 | 65¢ → 74¢ | $657 | +$73 +13% |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 438d | No | 736 | 62¢ → 83¢ | $607 | +$153 +34% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 8d | Yes | 2,000 | 30¢ → 28¢ | $570 | −$30 −5.0% |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 90¢ → 100¢ | $500 | +$50 +11% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 73d | No | 500 | 78¢ → 94¢ | $468 | +$78 +20% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Ends in 73d | Yes | 8,566 | 16¢ → 5¢ | $428 | −$939 −69% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 1,455 | 17¢ → 23¢ | $340 | +$94 +38% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 336 | 60¢ → 100¢ | $336 | +$134 +67% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 15d | Yes | 500 | 64¢ → 65¢ | $323 | +$3 +0.8% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 313 | 75¢ → 100¢ | $313 | +$78 +33% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 12d | No | 300 | 55¢ → 97¢ | $291 | +$126 +76% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 42d | Yes | 1,000 | 31¢ → 27¢ | $270 | −$40 −13% |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 438d | No | 410 | 23¢ → 63¢ | $259 | +$165 +176% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Ends in 12d | Yes | 2,280 | 11¢ → 11¢ | $251 | +$3 +1.2% |
| Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 438d | No | 270 | 80¢ → 83¢ | $224 | +$8 +3.8% |
| Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 186 | 29¢ → 100¢ | $186 | +$131 +240% |
| Will gas be below $3.75/gallon in any state on October 31?Ends in 12d | No | 400 | 22¢ → 43¢ | $172 | +$84 +95% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 200 | 21¢ → 76¢ | $151 | +$109 +260% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Ends in 77d | Yes | 2,728 | 9¢ → 5¢ | $127 | −$110 −46% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 438d | No | 135 | 63¢ → 88¢ | $118 | +$33 +39% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 438d | Yes | 121 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $114 | +$2 +1.8% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 73d | Yes | 2,422 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $109 | −$85 −44% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?Ends in 72d | No | 236 | 21¢ → 43¢ | $102 | +$52 +105% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 8d | No | 270 | 3¢ → 37¢ | $100 | +$91 +1020% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 88 | 25¢ → 100¢ | $88 | +$66 +300% |
| Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 87 | 67¢ → 100¢ | $87 | +$29 +49% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 12d | Yes | 19,000 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $86 | −$215 −72% |
| USMCA extended in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 83 | 78¢ → 92¢ | $75 | +$11 +17% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Ends in 77d | Yes | 764 | 39¢ → 10¢ | $73 | −$225 −76% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 15d | Yes | 709 | 6¢ → 9¢ | $62 | +$20 +47% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 51d | No | 300 | 24¢ → 21¢ | $61 | −$10 −15% |
| Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Ends in 72d | Yes | 658 | 16¢ → 8¢ | $53 | −$49 −48% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 12d | Yes | 1,150 | 38¢ → 5¢ | $52 | −$384 −88% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 2,407 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $51 | −$196 −80% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 438d | Yes | 905 | 3¢ → 6¢ | $50 | +$23 +85% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 42d | Yes | 945 | 3¢ → 5¢ | $45 | +$22 +92% |
| Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 74 | 26¢ → 57¢ | $42 | +$23 +119% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 500 | 5¢ → 7¢ | $36 | +$11 +46% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 41 | 29¢ → 85¢ | $35 | +$23 +191% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 246 | 27¢ → 12¢ | $30 | −$37 −56% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 9d | Yes | 200 | 34¢ → 13¢ | $25 | −$43 −63% |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 12 | 52¢ → 85¢ | $10 | +$4 +62% |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 517 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | +$1 +50% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 438d | Yes | 66 | <1¢ → 3¢ | $2 | +$2 +950% |
| Will USD be between 2.4M and 2.5M Iranian rials on October 31?Ends in 12d | Yes | 20 | <1¢ → 6¢ | $1 | +$1 +1751% |
| Will USD be between 2.3M and 2.4M Iranian rials on October 31?Ends in 12d | Yes | 35 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +217% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?Ends in 12d | Yes | 3 | 9¢ → 12¢ | $0 | +$0 +33% |
| Will USD be less than 2.3M Iranian rials on October 31?Ends in 12d | Yes | 25 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −28% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,216 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$452 −100% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $850B by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $71 on July 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 177 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will there be 30 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 472 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,519 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$59 −100% |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,634 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 950 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$114 −100% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 262 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,421 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$407 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30,935 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$404 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,405 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$168 −100% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 90 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,329 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$73 −100% |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 469 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 474 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,790 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,500 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$84 −100% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 24 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,669 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$398 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 501 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$110 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,244 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$224 −100% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,399 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,893 −100% |
