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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 3% | — | 0 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | $31.3 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22d | AnCap.Investor | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo96¢ → 97¢ | $1,728 | +$22 +1.3% | 7 |
| 64d | neutralwave23 | December 31, 2026 | SellNo93¢ → 97¢ | $1,045 | −$48 −4.6% | — |
| 111d | neutralwave23 | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo93¢ → 97¢ | $2,782 | +$134 +4.8% | 9 |
| 116d | 0x8931…a90c2 fills | Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,869 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 120d | newbie77 | Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,185 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 120d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,551 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
PaddyAlpha1,360 shares
LornaPredicts204 shares
Dr.PNL185 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for December 31, 2026 means the market gives it about 3%.