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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +1 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 335d | zxc368 | Will CME self certify a sports contract in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,503 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 335d | Will CME self certify a sports contract in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,088 | +$4 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 338d | Will CME self certify a sports contract in 2025? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,740 | +$24 +1.4% | 4 | |
| 338d | Will CME self certify a sports contract in 2025? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,882 | +$148 +5.1% | 4 | |
| 380d | Will CME self certify a sports contract in 2025? | SellNo50¢ → 0¢ | $6,278 | +$6,278 +100% | — | |
| 380d | ikeatampines | Will CME self certify a sports contract in 2025? | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $6,278 | +$6,278 +100% | 4 |
This market resolves to “Yes” if CME Group files a self-certification under CFTC Regulation 40.2 for at least one sport-based event contract by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to “No.” For this market, “self-certify” means CME, acting as a DCM or self-listing exchange, submits a written certification per 17 C.F.R. § 40.2 that the contract complies with the Commodity Exchange Act and CFTC regulations. The contract must explicitly reference a sporting event (e.g. game result, player performance, etc.). Announcements alone do not qualify; the filing must be made and publicly verifiable. The resolution source will be the CFTC’s public filings, CME’s disclosures, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.