| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 8,400 | 84¢ → 82¢ | $6,846 | −$175 −2.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 10d | No | 4,000 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $3,700 | +$20 +0.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | Yes | 3,500 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $3,203 | +$103 +3.3% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 3d | No | 3,200 | 68¢ → 73¢ | $2,320 | +$133 +6.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 2,200 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $2,013 | +$137 +7.3% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 2,000 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $1,987 | +$15 +0.8% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | Yes | 2,100 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $1,985 | +$199 +11% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 2,100 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $1,827 | −$11 −0.6% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 3,137 | 46¢ → 53¢ | $1,668 | +$210 +14% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 2,100 | 76¢ → 75¢ | $1,565 | −$41 −2.6% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 1,709 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $1,564 | +$138 +9.7% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | No | 1,500 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $1,373 | +$83 +6.4% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,500 | 80¢ → 83¢ | $1,252 | +$58 +4.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,750 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $1,094 | −$9 −0.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 1,650 | 56¢ → 64¢ | $1,048 | +$117 +13% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 1,200 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $1,026 | −$6 −0.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 969 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $931 | +$16 +1.8% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 950 | 74¢ → 95¢ | $898 | +$193 +27% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,050 | 84¢ → 80¢ | $840 | −$37 −4.3% |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 903 | 72¢ → 84¢ | $759 | +$105 +16% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 1,000 | 83¢ → 76¢ | $755 | −$77 −9.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 800 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $732 | −$10 −1.3% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 700 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $697 | +$4 +0.6% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 791 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $664 | −$8 −1.2% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 700 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $641 | +$4 +0.5% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 700 | 76¢ → 91¢ | $639 | +$110 +21% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 650 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $562 | −$3 −0.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 600 | 77¢ → 89¢ | $531 | +$69 +15% |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 550 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $530 | +$50 +10% |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Ends in 99d | Yes | 600 | 58¢ → 86¢ | $517 | +$167 +48% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 530 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $485 | +$21 +4.6% |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 491 | 65¢ → 96¢ | $472 | +$151 +47% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 600 | 88¢ → 77¢ | $459 | −$69 −13% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 35d | Yes | 700 | 60¢ → 63¢ | $437 | +$16 +3.7% |
| Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 67d | No | 450 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $423 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 500 | 73¢ → 80¢ | $399 | +$34 +9.4% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 400 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $385 | +$5 +1.3% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 99d | No | 384 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $361 | +$21 +6.0% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 418 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $349 | −$6 −1.7% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 500 | 58¢ → 67¢ | $335 | +$45 +16% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 799d | No | 400 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $334 | −$2 −0.6% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d | No | 400 | 88¢ → 84¢ | $334 | −$18 −5.1% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 799d | No | 400 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $330 | −$2 −0.6% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 799d | No | 400 | 86¢ → 82¢ | $326 | −$18 −5.2% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 400 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $322 | −$2 −0.6% |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d | No | 400 | 61¢ → 80¢ | $320 | +$76 +31% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 400 | 83¢ → 79¢ | $314 | −$18 −5.4% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 400 | 77¢ → 78¢ | $310 | +$2 +0.6% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?Ends in 341d | No | 392 | 84¢ → 74¢ | $288 | −$41 −13% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 600 | 64¢ → 48¢ | $285 | −$99 −26% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 300 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $275 | +$26 +10% |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Ends in 68d | No | 337 | 82¢ → 80¢ | $268 | −$7 −2.6% |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by...?Ends in 68d | No | 300 | 81¢ → 79¢ | $238 | −$4 −1.9% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 200 | 89¢ → >99¢ | $199 | +$21 +12% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | No | 200 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $189 | +$17 +9.9% |
| Halle Berry as Storm?Ends in 249d | No | 220 | 78¢ → 86¢ | $188 | +$17 +10% |
| Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 200 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $180 | +$4 +2.3% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 400 | 49¢ → 45¢ | $178 | −$18 −9.2% |
| Will Discord IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 173 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $169 | +$17 +11% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 200 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $166 | +$2 +1.2% |
| Will Robinhood be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?Ends in 433d | No | 200 | 68¢ → 64¢ | $127 | −$9 −6.6% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 35d | No | 200 | 70¢ → 62¢ | $125 | −$16 −11% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 250 | 26¢ → 38¢ | $94 | +$29 +44% |
| Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d | No | 270 | 46¢ → 33¢ | $89 | −$35 −28% |
| Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50?Ends in 68d | No | 148 | 18¢ → 56¢ | $84 | +$57 +217% |
| Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 91 | 53¢ → 80¢ | $72 | +$24 +50% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 80 | 80¢ → 90¢ | $72 | +$8 +12% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 100 | 59¢ → 72¢ | $72 | +$13 +21% |
| Waymo IPO before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 57 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $56 | +$6 +13% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 153 | 40¢ → 35¢ | $53 | −$8 −14% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 49 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $49 | +$3 +5.7% |
| Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 51 | 76¢ → 94¢ | $48 | +$9 +24% |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 50 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $46 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Ends in 158d | No | 46 | 82¢ → 88¢ | $41 | +$3 +7.3% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 500 | 22¢ → 6¢ | $28 | −$83 −75% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 27 | 61¢ → 79¢ | $21 | +$5 +29% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 23 | 77¢ → 83¢ | $19 | +$1 +7.1% |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Ends in 433d | Yes | 19 | 79¢ → 90¢ | $17 | +$2 +13% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 60 | 33¢ → 26¢ | $16 | −$4 −21% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 18 | 59¢ → 72¢ | $13 | +$2 +21% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 5 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +8.0% |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 4 | 75¢ → 90¢ | $3 | +$1 +20% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 4 | 67¢ → 65¢ | $3 | −$0 −3.7% |
| Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Ends ended | Yes | 1 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $1 | +$0 +11% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$115 −100% |
| Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 550 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$507 −100% |
| Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 363 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$168 −100% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,100 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$103 −100% |
| Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$88 −100% |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 700 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$506 −100% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,921 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Rockstar confirms GTA VI gameplay leaked?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 600 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$162 −100% |