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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 299d |  elmcap2 | Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration this year? | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,574 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 306d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration this year? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,459 | −$16 −0.6% | — |
| 313d | Fastgaard | Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration this year? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,102 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 324d | f2hf84hg52h54 fills | Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration this year? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $16,127 | +$345 +2.1% | 4 |
| 334d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly4 fills | Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration this year? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $18,963 | +$858 +4.5% | 4 |
| 345d |  TwoEyes | Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration this year? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $12,629 | +$391 +3.1% | 4 |
| 357d |  TheAugur | Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration this year? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,804 | +$196 +5.2% | 4 |
| 387d | forinnerpsandr1x11222 | Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration this year? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,435 | +$136 +5.6% | 4 |
| 421d |  ImJustKen | Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration this year? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,312 | +$227 +5.3% | 4 |
| 478d |  EA8 | Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration this year? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,791 | −$180 −6.4% | — |
| 479d | EA8 | Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration this year? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,760 | +$211 +7.6% | 4 |
| 497d |  user-213094o | Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration this year? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,880 | +$320 +11% | 4 |
cynical-reason10,973 shares
donglai663,930 shares
Darren281,079 shares
ftsj00111 shares
OrlenaMaura11 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Elon Musk to his administration between June 4, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.