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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −17 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk (@elonmusk) publishes a public post on X that includes a direct tag of Donald Trump's X account (@realDonaldTrump) at any point between July 6 and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, the post must be made from Elon Musk’s official X account and must include “@realDonaldTrump” in the body of a public post, reply, or quote post. The tag must appear in Musk’s own text. If Musk simply quotes a post that includes the tag without tagging @realDonaldTrump himself in the quote post text, it will not qualify. Reposts will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be Elon Musk’s X account (@elonmusk).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.