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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 630d |  iamhungry | Will Erdogan visit Syria by January? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,622 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 631d |  CarJunior | Will Erdogan visit Syria by January? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,308 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 642d | MBAguy | Will Erdogan visit Syria by January? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,174 | +$64 +5.5% | 20 |
| 651d |  mr.ozi2 fills | Will Erdogan visit Syria by January? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,807 | +$908 +32% | 20 |
| 655d | nonkenny90 | Will Erdogan visit Syria by January? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,766 | +$567 +20% | 20 |
| 657d |  Tommyvercettix | Will Erdogan visit Syria by January? | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,592 | −$351 −22% | — |
| 658d | Tommyvercettix | Will Erdogan visit Syria by January? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,457 | +$486 +33% | 20 |
| 659d |  TelegramTeleblog | Will Erdogan visit Syria by January? | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,361 | +$670 +49% | 20 |
If Recep Tayyip Erdoğan visits Syria between December 30 and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Erdogan physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Syria. Whether or not Erdogan enters Syrian airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Erdogan or Turkey, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.