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Polymarket wallet 0x4a5cca02808a294867f47db4fdb5aa21797be1d0 · on Polymarket since Nov 24, 2024 · also shown as Tremendous-Revascularisation
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 17 | 59¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$9 −91% |
| Will Erdogan visit Syria by January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 412 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$129 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 46 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 175 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 282d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BuyYes59¢ | $10 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes87¢ | $40 |
| 289d | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyYes72¢ | $20 |
| 289d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes30¢ | $30 |
| 289d | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes12¢ | $30 |
| 442d | Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31? | BuyYes20¢ | $35 |
| 660d | Will Erdogan visit Syria by January? | BuyYes24¢ | $50 |
| 662d | Will Erdogan visit Syria by January? | BuyYes39¢ | $78 |
| 669d | Assad public appearance before 2025? | SellNo91¢ | $8 |
| 671d | Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31? | BuyYes67¢ | $50 |
| 672d | Will Israel invade Syria in 2024? | BuyNo<1¢ | $5 |
| 675d | Will Israel invade Syria in 2024? | SellNo73¢ | $139 |
| 681d | Assad public appearance before 2025? | BuyNo68¢ | $6 |
| 681d | Assad public appearance before 2025? | SellYes32¢ | $6 |
| 681d | Assad public appearance before 2025? | BuyYes32¢ | $6 |
| 681d | Will Israel invade Syria in 2024? | BuyNo26¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.