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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 584d | Will Hamas enter Israel by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,290 | +$24 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 584d | nonkenny90 | Will Hamas enter Israel by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,893 | +$24 +1.3% | 4 |
| 584d | lowrisk24 | Will Hamas enter Israel by Friday? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,417 | +$47 +3.3% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas personnel enter Israeli territory from Gaza for combat operations between March 17, and March 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Entering Israeli territory" is defined as any instance where Hamas personnel are physically present on the ground in Israeli territory after crossing from Gaza. Incursions which are solely maritime or air-based will not count. Entering buffer zones within Gaza controlled by Israel will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.