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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31, 2027 | 54% | — | +43 pts | 20¢ · 87¢ (67¢) | — | in 158d |
| June 30, 2027 | 53% | +5 pts | +40 pts | 16¢ · 90¢ (74¢) | — | in 249d |
| December 31, 2026 | 9% | +4 pts | +4 pts | 2¢ · 16¢ (14¢) | — | in 68d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23d | TheEvilMoneyDestroyer | December 31, 2026 | SellNo90¢ → 91¢ | $1,411 | −$10 −0.7% | — |
| 115d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,566 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 156d | Inchoroi | Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$112 +3.7% | 4 |
| 181d |  anotherpatrick | Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,182 | +$590 +11% | 4 |
| 226d |  FATMAN2 fills | Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $3,244 | +$478 +15% | 4 |
| 242d | cyberutopia | Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | −$210 −18% | — |
| 252d | ohial | Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | −$156 −14% | — |
| 263d | 77771 | Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,407 | −$112 −8.0% | — |
| 269d | bakedapeyachtclub | Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$125 +11% | 4 |
| 296d | denizz3 fills | Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $5,456 | +$2,353 +43% | 4 |
| 324d |  GayPride | Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,939 | −$61 −1.6% | — |
| 327d |  MEPP2 fills | Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,383 | +$250 +4.6% | 4 |
| 344d | FATMAN2 fills | Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,204 | +$266 +5.1% | 4 |
| 370d | denizz | Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | −$84 −7.5% | — |
| 393d | szq2 fills | Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,878 | −$458 −16% | — |
| 424d | MEPP | Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $4,173 | −$818 −20% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 54¢ for March 31, 2027 means the market gives it about 54%.