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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 748d | AXX | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | SellYes>99¢ | $9,398 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 748d |  Dr.Awkcab6 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $12,578 | −$1,679 −13% | — |
| 748d |  beastishngry | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,335 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 748d | tf22 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $52,751 | +$69 +0.1% | 20 |
| 748d |  0943 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | SellYes>99¢ | $117,385 | −$353 −0.3% | — |
| 748d | SlavaUkraini | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $143,052 | +$166 +0.1% | 20 |
| 748d |  HaterzLoserz10 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $288,494 | −$11,679 −4.0% | — |
| 748d | 09432 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $22,080 | +$1,920 +8.7% | 20 |
| 748d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito3 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $27,943 | +$667 +2.4% | 20 |
| 748d | 1mperator17 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,736 | −$30 −0.8% | — |
| 748d |  niverse3 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $15,081 | −$96 −0.6% | — |
| 748d | ChrisT-996 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,996 | −$12 −0.6% | — |
| 748d | ChrisT-996 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$8 +0.4% | 20 |
| 748d | Denver82 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | SellYes100¢ | $1,399 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 748d | Denver82 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,400 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 748d |  Master-bettor | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | SellYes100¢ | $9,938 | −$50 −0.5% | — |
| 748d | memebeliver | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$8 +0.4% | 20 |
| 748d | alex78-415 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | SellYes100¢ | $1,199 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 748d | alex78-415 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,200 | +$5 +0.4% | 20 |
| 748d | ryzt2 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,467 | +$82 +1.8% | 20 |
| 748d | kard | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,996 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 748d | kard | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 748d | 0xF95E582F076231a0793487B076CfA8b72 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,445 | −$175 −5.1% | — |
| 748d |  McDonalds-Employee | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,841 | −$9 −0.5% | — |
| 748d | Tellyone | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,569 | +$19 +0.2% | 20 |
| 748d | karma0x | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,992 | −$14 −0.7% | — |
| 748d | karma0x | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 |
| 748d | Bob12331 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,317 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 748d | Master-bettor | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,772 | +$20 +0.2% | 20 |
| 748d | goodluckcharm2 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $7,018 | −$809 −12% | — |
| 748d |  50Whence9 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $29,693 | +$4,381 +15% | 20 |
| 748d | Isaak👴 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,000 | +$14 +0.2% | 20 |
| 748d | Niniti219 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $360,777 | +$21,689 +6.0% | 20 |
| 748d | GigiPirri | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes100¢ | $5,114 | +$26 +0.5% | 20 |
| 748d | OmenOfLord | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes100¢ | $2,322 | +$12 +0.5% | 20 |
| 748d | 79797979797979792 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $21,175 | +$205 +1.0% | 20 |
| 748d |  0xloren | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $21,481 | +$112 +0.5% | 20 |
| 748d |  aenews23 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,331 | +$258 +4.8% | 20 |
| 748d |  truthteller | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,452 | +$48 +1.4% | 20 |
| 748d |  Dropper | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,011 | +$98 +1.6% | 20 |
| 748d |  RememberAmalek2 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $10,007 | +$369 +3.7% | 20 |
| 748d |  jeterl | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyNo8¢ → 0¢ | $2,001 | −$2,001 −100% | 25 |
| 748d | FuzzyBear7 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyNo25¢ → 0¢ | $16,349 | −$16,349 −100% | 33 |
| 749d | beastishngry3 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $7,783 | +$619 +8.0% | 20 |
| 749d | HaterzLoserz42 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $139,453 | +$118K +85% | 20 |
| 749d |  Anjun | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $6,676 | −$586 −8.8% | — |
| 749d |  nicekitty | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,211 | −$77 −6.4% | — |
| 749d | Ftor12 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $3,539 | +$3,605 +102% | 20 |
| 749d | Pablito112 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,445 | −$105 −7.3% | — |
| 749d |  NJFG4L | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $5,066 | −$310 −6.1% | — |
| 749d |  EastBoat | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,038 | −$85 −8.2% | — |
| 749d | Anjun | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $18,022 | +$978 +5.4% | 20 |
| 749d | 1mperator17 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,263 | +$181 +8.0% | 20 |
| 749d |  LBZcapital | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $4,181 | +$319 +7.6% | 20 |
| 749d |  Gex-518 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $6,819 | +$599 +8.8% | 20 |
| 750d | lava-lava2 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $4,862 | −$678 −14% | — |
| 750d |  Ravenholdt3 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyNo26¢ → 0¢ | $5,825 | −$5,825 −100% | 28 |
| 750d | niverse6 fills | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $44,614 | +$4,827 +11% | 20 |
| 750d | whatisthisclownmarket | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,230 | +$262 +12% | 20 |
| 750d | watever345 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyNo12¢ → 0¢ | $3,628 | −$3,628 −100% | 29 |
RadLilDude5 shares
rousseauuuuuu4,737 shares
shinguang3,552 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon between August 6, 2024 and October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Lebanon, Israel, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.