Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 30 | 0% | −6 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| October 3 | 100% | +5 pts | +40 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| September 20 | 0% | 0 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 15 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 10 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| October 10 | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| September 27 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 387d |  Dapsy | October 3 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,823 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 387d |  alwaysthrivin2 fills | October 3 | BuyYes>99¢ | $25,595 | +$26 +0.1% | 4 |
| 387d |  Ahpo | October 3 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,891 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 387d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | October 3 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,404 | +$10 +0.3% | 4 |
| 387d |  duderr | October 3 | BuyYes100¢ | $2,000 | +$10 +0.5% | 4 |
| 387d |  classified | October 3 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | +$12 +1.1% | 4 |
| 387d |  TeemuPukki2 fills | October 3 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,933 | +$132 +4.5% | 5 |
| 387d |  Dropper | October 3 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,342 | +$78 +5.8% | 5 |
| 387d |  theta-thunberg | October 3 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,898 | +$112 +5.9% | 5 |
| 388d | wubddh3 fills | October 3 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $5,686 | +$398 +7.0% | 5 |
| 388d | Johnson36 | October 3 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,593 | +$195 +7.5% | 5 |
| 388d |  PolBenson | September 30 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,260 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 388d | Sorrymissjackson | September 30 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,269 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 388d |  SCHIZO-RELAY-PAYS-ME | September 30 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,585 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 388d |  fkurwifefromtheback | September 30 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,050 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 388d | courageous | October 3 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,919 | −$106 −3.6% | — |
| 388d | laniakea-supercluster | September 30 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | −$41 −4.0% | — |
| 388d | thedemian2 fills | September 30 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $13,692 | +$557 +4.1% | 5 |
| 388d |  Naichli | October 3 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,301 | +$43 +3.3% | 5 |
| 388d | Naichli | September 30 | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,417 | −$137 −9.7% | — |
| 388d | TeemuPukki | September 30 | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,569 | −$431 −27% | — |
| 388d | ganatalak | September 30 | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,021 | −$225 −11% | — |
| 388d |  UwO | September 30 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $11,556 | +$485 +4.2% | 4 |
| 388d | 0x933a9cf7d526f7f24ea7f3d092ffda0d9bfc64f34 fills | September 30 | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $12,779 | −$2,271 −18% | — |
| 388d | 0x933a9cf7d526f7f24ea7f3d092ffda0d9bfc64f35 fills | September 30 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $13,402 | +$2,031 +15% | 4 |
| 388d |  SPIT | September 30 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,305 | +$195 +15% | 4 |
| 388d |  Isjsksjs | September 30 | BuyYes22¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 5 |
| 389d | thedemian | September 30 | SellNo29¢ → 100¢ | $3,069 | −$7,531 −245% | — |
| 389d | drborrowedtime | September 30 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,492 | +$308 +12% | 4 |
| 389d | Naichli | September 30 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$64 +6.4% | 4 |
| 389d |  ULtra0012 fills | September 30 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,508 | −$218 −8.7% | — |
| 389d |  TealV | October 3 | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $2,139 | +$720 +34% | 6 |
| 389d |  valyav | September 30 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,269 | +$67 +5.3% | 6 |
| 390d |  ComingBack | September 30 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,490 | +$225 +9.1% | 6 |
| 390d | StopNoticing | September 30 | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,211 | −$150 −12% | — |
| 390d | ganatalak | September 30 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | +$123 +11% | 7 |
| 390d | Sgmoney | September 30 | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,263 | −$417 −33% | — |
| 390d | Kjmo | September 30 | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,948 | −$486 −25% | — |
| 391d | SCHIZO-RELAY-PAYS-ME2 fills | September 30 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $3,860 | +$798 +21% | 7 |
| 391d | Boring-Excitement | September 30 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,950 | +$399 +20% | 7 |
| 391d |  25usdc | September 27 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,497 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 391d |  RichDaD | September 30 | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,910 | −$233 −12% | — |
| 392d |  Mantzuraj | September 30 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,273 | −$96 −7.5% | — |
| 392d |  thevibeformerlyknownastrimtrimtrimsahur | September 30 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,348 | −$101 −7.5% | — |
| 392d |  Oompa-Loompa2 fills | September 27 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,558 | +$19 +0.5% | 4 |
| 392d |  Ocelot892 fills | September 30 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,247 | +$356 +16% | 5 |
| 393d | Ocelot89 | September 30 | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,376 | −$467 −34% | — |
| 393d | wubddh3 fills | September 27 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,691 | +$103 +1.5% | 4 |
| 397d |  dimati | September 30 | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $1,299 | +$1,081 +83% | 4 |
| 399d |  Arlette | September 30 | SellNo61¢ → 100¢ | $3,014 | −$1,900 −63% | — |
| 399d |  MortWalker | September 20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,315 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 399d |  PaddyAlpha | September 20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,201 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 400d | aff3 | September 30 | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $3,263 | +$1,088 +33% | 4 |
| 401d | Arlette3 fills | September 30 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $12,114 | +$1,226 +10% | 4 |
| 401d |  GobiDesertCanoePro | September 30 | BuyYes65¢ → 0¢ | $1,048 | −$1,048 −100% | 4 |
| 402d | Mantzuraj | September 20 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,448 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 402d |  dooby | September 20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,656 | +$25 +0.1% | 4 |
| 402d |  Goopster | September 20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,805 | +$25 +0.4% | 4 |
| 403d | Arlette | September 20 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,659 | +$26 +0.7% | 4 |
| 403d |  ChantMaster599 | September 30 | BuyNo49¢ → 100¢ | $1,764 | +$1,829 +104% | 4 |
xyz112355,249 sharesThe Global Sumud Flotilla, including its partner initiatives, announced that it will launch a Flotilla towards Gaza from Spanish ports on August 31 and Tunisian ports on September 4. More information can be found here: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/8/31/gaza-humanitarian-flotilla-departs-barcelona-to-break-israeli-siege This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military or law enforcement personnel physically board any vessel participating in the initiative, without authorization or consent from the crew or organizers, by September 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Escorting, shadowing, or issuing warnings without boarding does not count. Boarding with the crew’s consent also will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for September 30 means the market gives it about 0%.