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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 4 | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 30 | 0% | −1 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 27 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 22 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| April 24 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| June 30 | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 23 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 159d |  Babymunk | May 31 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,108 | −$45 −4.1% | — |
| 160d |  unbrokesociety | May 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,050 | +$187 +3.7% | 20 |
| 160d |  SpottyDog | May 31 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,527 | +$201 +13% | 20 |
| 172d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly2 fills | May 31 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $3,407 | +$846 +25% | 20 |
| 173d | Babymunk | May 4 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,274 | −$26 −0.8% | — |
| 175d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly2 fills | April 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,637 | +$137 +2.1% | 20 |
| 176d | Babymunk | April 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,130 | −$13 −1.2% | — |
| 179d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | April 27 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 180d |  TimRob | April 27 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,917 | −$50 −1.7% | — |
| 181d |  vinii | April 27 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,677 | −$68 −4.1% | — |
| 181d | vinii | April 27 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,618 | +$54 +2.1% | 20 |
| 181d | Babymunk | May 4 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | +$500 +18% | 20 |
| 182d | vinii | April 24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,360 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 183d | vinii2 fills | April 22 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,737 | +$21 +0.6% | 20 |
| 184d | okcoolstorybro | April 22 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,990 | +$41 +2.0% | 20 |
Rules
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for May 31 means the market gives it about 0%.