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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +2 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 257d |  AcctToBeRetired2 fills | Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $12,929 | −$70 −0.5% | — |
| 257d | DarkRepulser | Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election? | SellYes100¢ | $1,294 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 257d | 0x5813…b464 | Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,255 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 257d | xenonliu | Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,198 | +$9 +0.1% | 10 |
| 257d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,496 | +$9 +0.2% | 10 |
| 257d | 123skdskd8223 | Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $14,553 | −$192 −1.3% | — |
| 257d | hypertondemo2 fills | Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,340 | −$38 −1.1% | — |
| 257d |  knrad | Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,085 | +$6 +0.3% | 10 |
| 257d | tarozari | Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,688 | −$12 −0.7% | — |
| 258d | 0xe617…f251 | Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$27 +1.4% | 10 |
| 258d | slight- | Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $10,432 | −$276 −2.6% | — |
| 258d | tktt | Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,196 | −$50 −4.2% | — |
| 259d | hollyber2 fills | Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,034 | +$116 +2.9% | 11 |
| 259d | 0x5813…b464 | Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,588 | +$73 +4.6% | 11 |
| 259d | AcctToBeRetired2 fills | Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,645 | +$99 +3.7% | 11 |
| 259d | 123skdskd8223 | Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,537 | +$82 +5.4% | 11 |
| 261d | hypertondemo | Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,896 | +$184 +9.7% | 11 |
| 264d | admjtw8888 | Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$178 +15% | 11 |
| 271d | Palace8709 | Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election? | BuyNo54¢ → 0¢ | $6,777 | −$6,777 −100% | 10 |
tomlelouch8 shares
RepublicOfChina3,561 sharesGeneral elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) wins a majority of seats, at least 233, in the Japanese House of Representatives (衆議院, Shūgiin) as a result of the next Japanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election aren't known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the respective party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Japanese government, including the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/) or e-Stat (Japan’s government statistics portal; https://www.e-stat.go.jp/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.