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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 6% | +2 pts | −4 pts | 4¢ · 8¢ (4¢) | $128 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 175d | d-flow | Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,704 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 183d | NancyAustin8837 | Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | +$164 +15% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 6¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 6%.