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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 722d | longtern | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,549 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 722d | rpo2 fills | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,718 | +$13 +0.4% | 4 |
| 724d |  Donkov | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | BuyNo100¢ | $1,537 | +$8 +0.5% | 4 |
| 725d | GhostPaper | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$7 +0.7% | 4 |
| 725d | Donkov | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,019 | −$55 −1.1% | — |
| 726d | oof | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,258 | +$43 +1.0% | 4 |
| 727d | MaxTheMax | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,959 | +$41 +0.8% | 4 |
| 727d |  tsybka | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,246 | +$103 +1.3% | 4 |
| 730d |  SirHarryOakes | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$24 +1.6% | 4 |
| 735d | nattrade | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $19,135 | +$391 +2.0% | 4 |
| 735d | alex321 | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,463 | −$136 −2.5% | — |
| 737d |  ImJustKen | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,559 | −$43 −2.8% | — |
| 738d | CompulsiveGambler | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | −$27 −2.7% | — |
| 742d | anciano | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,031 | +$43 +4.2% | 4 |
| 750d | Vladimir0073 fills | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $3,781 | −$943 −25% | — |
| 754d |  Skankhunt42. | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,451 | +$179 +12% | 4 |
| 755d | Straight-Split | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,089 | −$300 −14% | — |
| 757d | Olololo2 fills | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $8,056 | +$1,071 +13% | 4 |
| 758d | Dalibor | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$193 +9.7% | 4 |
| 759d | leo66 | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,587 | −$318 −12% | — |
| 762d | ololololololololo | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $5,785 | −$715 −12% | — |
| 762d |  ALMOST | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | BuyYes11¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 762d | Marcus177 | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | −$134 −12% | — |
| 766d | Barcide | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$1,382 +28% | 4 |
| 767d |  HaterzLoserz3 fills | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | SellNo74¢ → 100¢ | $6,187 | −$2,171 −35% | — |
| 773d | viktorurolog163 fills | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $4,526 | +$1,656 +37% | 4 |
| 776d | HaterzLoserz3 fills | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $11,220 | +$3,733 +33% | 4 |
| 778d | leo66 | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$899 +45% | 4 |
| 778d | Vladimir007 | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,030 +52% | 4 |
| 788d | truce3 fills | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $6,346 | −$6,346 −100% | 4 |
| 790d |  PolyMarker | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | BuyYes57¢ → 0¢ | $2,507 | −$2,507 −100% | 4 |
| 790d | alex321 | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,758 +88% | 4 |
| 792d | momom | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$3,829 +77% | 4 |
| 792d |  sigh | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | SellNo45¢ → 100¢ | $2,198 | −$2,686 −122% | — |
| 794d | tsybka2 fills | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | SellYes58¢ → 0¢ | $6,913 | +$6,913 +100% | — |
| 795d | tsybka3 fills | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $3,782 | −$3,782 −100% | 5 |
PolyMarker4,370 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures St. Michael's church in Pokrovsk located on Hrushevskoho Vulytsia by October 31, 2024 at 11:59 PM ET. The church will be considered captured if any part of building is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. Once Russia captures the church, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Church Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Pokrovsk+Church+Location.png Pokrovsk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Pokrovosk+Location.png Location on Google maps: https://www.google.com/maps/@48.2794472,37.1801207,592m/data=!3m1!1e3?entry=ttu The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.