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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | 100% | +11 pts | +32 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| February 28 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 30 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 31 | 0% | −1 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 498d | balerinacapuchina4 fills | June 30 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $12,145 | +$1,491 +12% | 4 |
| 498d | June 30 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,473 | −$16 −1.1% | — | |
| 498d | June 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,170 | +$93 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 498d | June 30 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,570 | +$125 +3.5% | 4 | |
| 498d | AlexPro | June 30 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,984 | −$16 −0.8% | — |
| 498d | June 30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $10,026 | +$255 +2.5% | 4 | |
| 498d | AlexPro3 fills | June 30 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $6,525 | +$430 +6.6% | 4 |
| 498d | Pravda | June 30 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$397 +7.9% | 4 |
| 498d | Lelush | June 30 | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,720 | −$178 −10% | — |
| 500d | Scottp1887 | June 30 | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,315 | −$170 −13% | — |
| 500d | zahex111 | June 30 | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,499 | −$185 −12% | — |
| 500d | DannyGGc | June 30 | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | −$133 −13% | — |
| 501d | Kvaldir7 | June 30 | BuyNo17¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 7 |
| 502d | lowrisk24 | June 30 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | +$108 +9.9% | 4 |
| 502d | MaxTheMax | June 30 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,241 | +$127 +10% | 4 |
| 502d | jrst02 fills | June 30 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $9,778 | +$1,760 +18% | 4 |
| 503d | tdrrr3 fills | June 30 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $9,464 | +$1,374 +15% | 4 |
| 503d | June 30 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $5,654 | +$1,012 +18% | 4 | |
| 504d | zahex111 | June 30 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,334 | +$351 +26% | 4 |
| 505d | June 30 | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $2,233 | +$1,203 +54% | 4 | |
| 505d | June 30 | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | −$448 −40% | — | |
| 508d | Lelush | June 30 | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,354 | +$667 +49% | 4 |
| 510d | forinnerpsandr1x112222 fills | June 30 | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $12,281 | +$6,049 +49% | 4 |
| 510d | fargoink | May 31 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,316 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 510d | May 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,518 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 512d | Scottp1887 | June 30 | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$344 +30% | 4 |
| 512d | Pravda | May 31 | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,239 | −$131 −11% | — |
| 520d | fargoink | May 31 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,051 | +$266 +25% | 4 |
| 533d | squirtl | May 31 | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $2,087 | +$1,323 +63% | 4 |
| 540d | visi0n | May 31 | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,517 | −$1,517 −100% | 6 |
| 541d | megaboy | April 30 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,297 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 541d | amused85 | April 30 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,398 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 543d | April 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,430 | −$17 −1.2% | — | |
| 545d | May 31 | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,899 | +$913 +48% | 4 | |
| 545d | April 30 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,899 | −$68 −3.6% | — | |
| 549d | BowlOfPunch | May 31 | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | +$556 +49% | 4 |
| 552d | iwillwin1 | April 30 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | −$82 −8.1% | — |
| 554d | lowrisk24 | April 30 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | +$106 +8.7% | 4 |
| 557d | megaboy | April 30 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,118 | +$181 +16% | 4 |
| 560d | Pravda | April 30 | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,919 | −$502 −26% | — |
| 563d | KrackenSruster4 fills | April 30 | SellNo71¢ → 100¢ | $9,172 | −$3,799 −41% | — |
| 565d | April 30 | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,050 | −$1,050 −100% | 4 | |
| 565d | amused85 | April 30 | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $2,065 | +$892 +43% | 4 |
| 566d | Phyros | April 30 | SellNo65¢ → 100¢ | $17,456 | −$9,399 −54% | — |
| 566d | Phyros | April 30 | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $17,469 | +$9,406 +54% | 4 |
| 567d | Pravda | April 30 | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | +$584 +57% | 4 |
| 568d | April 30 | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $2,481 | +$1,591 +64% | 4 | |
| 569d | Koolio | April 30 | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,502 | −$1,502 −100% | 4 |
| 584d | April 30 | SellNo52¢ → 100¢ | $2,366 | −$2,182 −92% | — | |
| 585d | Protos2 fills | April 30 | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $6,000 | −$6,000 −100% | 4 |
| 587d | April 30 | SellYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,617 | +$1,617 +100% | — | |
| 591d | April 30 | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $4,685 | +$3,143 +67% | 4 | |
| 603d | amused854 fills | April 30 | BuyYes56¢ → 0¢ | $7,130 | −$7,130 −100% | 4 |
| 605d | nonkenny90 | February 28 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,634 | −$22 −1.4% | — |
| 606d | February 28 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,644 | +$16 +0.6% | 4 | |
| 611d | April 30 | SellYes69¢ → 0¢ | $1,104 | +$1,104 +100% | — | |
| 614d | KrackenSruster | April 30 | BuyNo33¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$2,000 +199% | 4 |
| 615d | amused85 | April 30 | SellYes64¢ → 0¢ | $2,486 | +$2,486 +100% | — |
| 615d | April 30 | SellYes64¢ → 0¢ | $2,325 | +$2,325 +100% | — | |
| 615d | April 30 | BuyYes62¢ → 0¢ | $2,096 | −$2,096 −100% | 4 |
This is a market on whether Russia will control territory in the Dnipro region by a specific date.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for June 30 means the market gives it about 100%.