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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 692d | rpo2 fills | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,314 | +$71 +1.3% | 4 |
| 692d | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,441 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 693d | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $12,268 | +$875 +7.1% | 4 | |
| 693d | Max13 | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,118 | +$42 +1.0% | 4 |
| 697d | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,499 | +$118 +2.1% | 4 | |
| 702d | nedst5 fills | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $11,478 | +$852 +7.4% | 4 |
| 703d | sodah17 | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,764 | −$305 −6.4% | — |
| 703d | Olololo | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,774 | +$93 +5.3% | 4 |
| 703d | MikeMoore | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$661 +6.6% | 4 |
| 705d | SantosH | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $9,100 | +$900 +9.9% | 4 |
| 705d | Carpfisher2 fills | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $6,209 | +$690 +11% | 4 |
| 706d | nonkenny90 | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,390 | −$121 −8.7% | — |
| 707d | CC3-008 | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,314 | −$121 −9.2% | — |
| 709d | tryingtruth | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,412 | +$123 +8.7% | 4 |
| 710d | xDemolisherx | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | −$196 −9.9% | — |
| 712d | Azrarn2 fills | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$618 +15% | 4 |
| 712d | sodah17 | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,508 | +$561 +12% | 4 |
| 712d | xDemolisherx | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,933 | +$241 +12% | 4 |
| 713d | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $20,318 | +$5,319 +26% | 4 | |
| 713d | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,690 | +$275 +16% | 4 | |
| 714d | ET42 fills | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $7,755 | +$2,126 +27% | 4 |
| 715d | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,695 | +$823 +31% | 4 | |
| 716d | ET42 fills | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $3,688 | −$1,545 −42% | — |
| 716d | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | SellNo72¢ → 100¢ | $8,278 | −$3,172 −38% | — | |
| 716d | bookofua | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | +$687 +30% | 4 |
| 717d | nonkenny904 fills | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $5,591 | +$2,509 +45% | 4 |
| 723d | Olololo2 fills | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $3,256 | −$1,445 −44% | — |
| 723d | comon119 | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $2,361 | −$2,361 −100% | 7 |
| 730d | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | SellNo65¢ → 100¢ | $2,044 | −$1,100 −54% | — | |
| 731d | Ksjjtt22 | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | SellYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,257 | +$1,257 +100% | — |
| 731d | sjtjt | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,562 | +$638 +41% | 4 |
| 731d | Asdwa | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | SellYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,023 | +$1,023 +100% | — |
| 731d | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,356 | +$581 +43% | 4 | |
| 731d | Ssdwa | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | +$464 +41% | 4 |
| 731d | Anuhueho | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,207 | +$493 +41% | 4 |
| 731d | Agjhggfh | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | SellYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,112 | +$1,112 +100% | — |
| 731d | Jhkjgh | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,387 | +$513 +37% | 4 |
| 731d | Bhfgf | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,533 | +$567 +37% | 4 |
| 731d | Askdbw | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,943 | +$957 +49% | 4 |
| 731d | Askdbw | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | SellYes33¢ → 0¢ | $1,089 | +$1,089 +100% | — |
| 731d | Asdhuiw | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,072 | +$528 +49% | 4 |
| 731d | Auwaiohd | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,139 | +$561 +49% | 4 |
| 731d | ksktta | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | SellYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,395 | +$1,395 +100% | — |
| 731d | sakktkt | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,518 | +$682 +45% | 4 |
| 731d | Asjt | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,587 | +$713 +45% | 4 |
| 731d | ASiswwasd | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,943 | +$957 +49% | 4 |
| 731d | Msjt | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | SellYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,240 | +$1,240 +100% | — |
| 731d | adwad | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$480 +47% | 4 |
| 731d | Nant | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,407 | +$693 +49% | 4 |
| 731d | sktkkt | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,273 | +$627 +49% | 4 |
| 731d | 0x2370…0e10 | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,121 | +$514 +46% | 4 |
| 731d | Kjstc | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | SellYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,481 | +$1,481 +100% | — |
| 731d | Kie-610 | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,571 | +$706 +45% | 4 |
| 731d | Iosutt | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,725 | +$775 +45% | 4 |
| 732d | Klsot | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,544 | +$436 +28% | 4 |
| 732d | KSTJ | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,482 | +$418 +28% | 4 |
| 732d | mhwQQQ | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | +$393 +28% | 4 |
| 732d | Ksut | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,326 | +$374 +28% | 4 |
| 732d | KSJT-964 | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $2,442 | +$858 +35% | 4 |
| 732d | KSJT-964 | Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December? | SellYes26¢ → 0¢ | $1,014 | +$1,014 +100% | — |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Sudzha railroad station located on Privokzal'naya ulitsa by November 30, 2024 at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Sudzha+train.jpeg Sudzha Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Sudzha+location.jpeg Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/s7MXZ3FSQBaVkAMk9 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.