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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31 | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| April 30 | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| February 28 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 30 | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 590d | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,598 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 590d | HanSolo243 fills | March 31 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,780 | +$148 +2.6% | 4 |
| 590d | April 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,526 | −$7 −0.1% | — | |
| 590d | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $23,128 | −$39 −0.2% | — | |
| 590d | ET4 | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,266 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 590d | ET4 | April 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,649 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 590d | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $31,752 | +$34 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 590d | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,497 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 590d | April 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,387 | +$20 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 590d | April 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,471 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 590d | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,157 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 590d | TRUMPLINE | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,436 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 591d | AnonymousGambler | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,315 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 591d | SeniorLaghetto | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,170 | +$4 +0.4% | 4 |
| 591d | March 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,475 | +$77 +1.4% | 4 | |
| 591d | March 31 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $16,929 | +$1,398 +8.3% | 4 | |
| 591d | June 30 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,787 | −$53 −1.9% | — | |
| 591d | April 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,170 | −$5 −0.4% | — | |
| 591d | Zeusgen | April 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,395 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 591d | March 31 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,088 | −$19 −1.7% | — | |
| 591d | April 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,279 | +$13 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 591d | April 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,357 | +$15 +1.1% | 4 | |
| 591d | June 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,704 | +$30 +1.1% | 4 | |
| 591d | April 30 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,831 | −$49 −1.0% | — | |
| 591d | perfectlypredictingthepast | March 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$179 +2.6% | 4 |
| 592d | April 30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,811 | +$134 +2.3% | 4 | |
| 592d | April 30 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,401 | +$226 +3.5% | 4 | |
| 592d | March 31 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $4,750 | +$622 +13% | 4 | |
| 592d | Thick-Plume | March 31 | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,545 | −$402 −26% | — |
| 592d | June 30 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,261 | +$120 +3.7% | 4 | |
| 592d | ET42 fills | April 30 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $4,386 | +$314 +7.2% | 4 |
| 592d | ET42 fills | March 31 | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $4,402 | +$874 +20% | 4 |
| 592d | March 31 | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,648 | +$385 +23% | 4 | |
| 592d | March 31 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,103 | +$276 +25% | 4 | |
| 593d | March 31 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$261 +25% | 4 | |
| 593d | April 30 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$112 +5.6% | 4 | |
| 593d | April 30 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $6,383 | +$694 +11% | 4 | |
| 594d | Azrarn | March 31 | BuyNo28¢ → 0¢ | $1,700 | −$1,700 −100% | 6 |
| 594d | March 31 | BuyNo37¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 4 | |
| 594d | Thick-Plume | March 31 | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,189 | +$486 +41% | 10 |
| 595d | Eragon1250 | April 30 | BuyNo35¢ → 0¢ | $1,114 | −$1,114 −100% | 4 |
| 605d | nonkenny905 fills | April 30 | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $7,442 | −$7,442 −100% | 4 |
| 608d | Kiryuxan | February 28 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | +$8 +0.8% | 4 |
| 609d | ziggaBOBl | February 28 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,874 | −$21 −1.1% | — |
| 611d | June 30 | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $2,152 | +$1,109 +52% | 4 | |
| 611d | February 28 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,621 | +$101 +1.5% | 4 | |
| 623d | Olololo | February 28 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,952 | +$48 +2.5% | 4 |
| 625d | April 30 | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $1,167 | −$1,167 −100% | 4 | |
| 630d | nonkenny902 fills | February 28 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $8,133 | +$548 +6.7% | 4 |
| 630d | ziggaBOBl | February 28 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$130 +8.7% | 4 |
This is a market on whether Russia will recapture the town of Sudzha by a specified date.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for March 31 means the market gives it about 100%.