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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 589d | rulki2 fills | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,554 | +$27 +0.1% | 10 |
| 590d |  scrooge5 fills | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $10,009 | −$3,068 −31% | — |
| 591d |  Ted7772 fills | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,539 | −$26 −0.6% | — |
| 596d | 0x4c1f…07d1 | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,025 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 597d | LoriEnis | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | BuyNo>99¢ | $51,422 | +$103 +0.2% | 10 |
| 598d |  Fuentes313 fills | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,897 | −$63 −0.9% | — |
| 599d | Sylvaren | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | BuyNo>99¢ | $28,528 | +$86 +0.3% | 10 |
| 602d | KaeKvix | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | BuyNo>99¢ | $37,613 | +$75 +0.2% | 10 |
| 604d | WilliamS | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,283 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 605d | KennyM | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,586 | −$14 −0.9% | — |
| 606d | Doggieson | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,570 | −$41 −0.9% | — |
| 606d | scrooge | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,064 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 607d | Brubb | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,032 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 607d | 321123 | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,412 | −$43 −1.8% | — |
| 607d |  YouAreMyExitLiqudity | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,534 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 607d | 321123 | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,448 | +$6 +0.3% | 10 |
| 607d | DarkSombra | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,839 | −$72 −1.9% | — |
| 607d | rt5 | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,174 | −$27 −2.3% | — |
| 607d | 15cmMonster | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$18 +1.0% | 10 |
| 609d | KTKK | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,108 | −$82 −7.4% | — |
| 616d |  Coram_Deo2 fills | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $3,914 | −$1,330 −34% | — |
| 617d | Doggieson2 fills | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$611 +15% | 10 |
| 617d | DarkSombra | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $3,381 | +$531 +16% | 10 |
| 627d | lava-lava | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $1,384 | −$1,384 −100% | 11 |
| 630d | Fuentes312 fills | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $5,100 | +$1,861 +36% | 10 |
| 631d | Kapii2 fills | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | SellNo66¢ → 100¢ | $6,646 | −$3,363 −51% | — |
| 637d | Kapii | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | +$551 +52% | 10 |
| 652d |  mombil | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $1,176 | −$1,176 −100% | 11 |
| 658d | BoringTrader | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | SellNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,269 | −$683 −54% | — |
| 659d | marshal-249 | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | SellNo67¢ → 100¢ | $5,589 | −$2,698 −48% | — |
| 665d | marshal-249 | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $5,642 | +$2,645 +47% | 10 |
| 666d |  TomSawyer-030 | Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 13 |
TimeTraveler3,727 sharesGerman Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alliance 90/The Greens (Bündnis 90/Die Grünen) wins over 15% of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.