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Polymarket wallet 0x1f9a6bb5a404493ec31daca3819bc9845b4206be · on Polymarket since Jul 21, 2024 · also shown as Pessimistic-Theism
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 867 | 25¢ → 8¢ | $69 | −$147 −68% |
| Will SPD, FDP, and Greens form the next German Government?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,333 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 731 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Meta buy TikTok?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 497 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 71 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 43 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.