Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d | M8882 fills | Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,477 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 302d | Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,108 | +$8 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 308d | Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | −$10 −1.0% | — | |
| 316d | Another-Allowance | Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31? | BuyNo100¢ | $1,009 | +$5 +0.5% | 4 |
| 317d | simpleman | Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$38 +1.3% | 4 |
| 324d | Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,113 | −$17 −1.5% | — | |
| 348d | Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,375 | +$111 +2.5% | 4 | |
| 348d | Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | −$54 −5.3% | — | |
| 351d | choohkz23 | Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | +$71 +5.5% | 4 |
| 353d | Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$68 +6.8% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, after the U.S. federal government shutdown that started on October 1, 2025, ends, the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown. The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.