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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 6 | 100% | +66 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| February 13 | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 263d | jade. | February 13 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,001 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 263d |  Erka-RoadTo1M | February 13 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,190 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 263d | melganis | February 13 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 263d | 0fb15080c50ce5251cffa7fa08f2eb612bf725c3 | February 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,103 | +$35 +0.2% | 20 |
| 263d | Sweaty-Claw | February 13 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,792 | +$8 +0.3% | 20 |
| 263d | Dapper-Grandfather2 fills | February 6 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,985 | +$25 +0.6% | 20 |
| 263d | unodostress | February 6 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | −$14 −1.2% | — |
| 263d | unodostress | February 6 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | +$8 +0.7% | 20 |
| 263d | continues2 fills | February 6 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,460 | +$34 +0.8% | 20 |
| 263d |  HowToBasic | February 6 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,980 | +$96 +1.0% | 20 |
| 263d | HowToBasic | February 13 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,791 | +$14 +0.5% | 20 |
| 263d | Trustinghorse2 fills | February 6 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $12,722 | +$171 +1.3% | 20 |
| 263d |  Nik- | February 6 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,168 | +$24 +1.1% | 20 |
| 263d |  Hamapo | February 6 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,623 | +$50 +1.4% | 20 |
| 263d | Hamapo | February 13 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,623 | −$45 −1.3% | — |
| 263d |  aaa62 fills | February 6 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $16,796 | +$204 +1.2% | 20 |
| 263d |  Lolakis | February 6 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | −$16 −1.5% | — |
| 263d | Hamapo | February 13 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,658 | +$11 +0.3% | 20 |
| 263d |  Chims | February 6 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | +$22 +1.1% | 20 |
| 263d |  AcctToBeRetired2 fills | February 6 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $35,954 | +$456 +1.3% | 20 |
| 263d |  Makise.Kurisu | February 6 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,976 | +$24 +1.2% | 20 |
| 263d |  CMCAM | February 13 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,093 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 263d |  LASHOLE | February 6 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,194 | +$15 +1.2% | 20 |
| 263d |  Parz1vaI | February 13 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,318 | +$33 +1.4% | 20 |
| 263d |  cambridgeisaac2 fills | February 6 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$106 +2.1% | 20 |
| 263d | Thrifty-CystNew account | February 6 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $10,384 | +$427 +4.1% | 22 |
| 263d |  suraxy | February 6 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$94 +4.7% | 20 |
| 263d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | February 6 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,330 | +$71 +5.3% | 20 |
| 263d |  bamesjond2 fills | February 6 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,314 | +$154 +4.6% | 20 |
| 263d |  MichaelDaSantas | February 6 | BuyNo12¢ → 0¢ | $5,333 | −$5,333 −100% | 32 |
| 263d |  aenews23 fills | February 6 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $12,230 | +$493 +4.0% | 20 |
| 263d | 0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C293 fills | February 6 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $5,875 | +$251 +4.3% | 20 |
| 263d |  lEGLeGDaNDAnYah. | February 6 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,994 | +$91 +3.0% | 20 |
| 263d | jackson007 | February 6 | BuyNo8¢ → 0¢ | $2,437 | −$2,437 −100% | 27 |
| 263d |  imnice | February 6 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | +$32 +3.0% | 20 |
| 263d |  tourists | February 6 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,345 | +$101 +7.5% | 20 |
| 263d | Pantheon1 | February 6 | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,205 | −$115 −9.5% | — |
| 263d |  Rex416 | February 6 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,429 | +$40 +2.8% | 20 |
| 263d | Pantheon1 | February 6 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,285 | +$35 +2.7% | 20 |
| 263d |  DOJ2 fills | February 6 | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $3,300 | +$752 +23% | 20 |
| 263d | DOJ | February 13 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $2,814 | +$746 +26% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration publicly releases any files pertaining to Jeffrey Epstein between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any release will qualify, including re-releases, partial releases, unsubstantive materials, or documents whose contents were already known from prior reporting. Qualifying releases must be made by the Executive Branch itself, such as through an official government website, press release, or FOIA reading room. Transmissions solely to courts, Congress, or other non-Executive entities do not qualify unless the Executive Branch subsequently makes the files publicly accessible. The following will not qualify: -Announcements of releases that are not implemented within this market’s timeframe. -Releases made exclusively by courts, Congress or its committees, state or local governments, private entities, or leaks not officially attributable to the Executive Branch. -Leaked, unofficial, or anonymously sourced disclosures. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for February 6 means the market gives it about 100%.