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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 718d | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,879 | +$21 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 718d | therealbatman6 fills | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo>99¢ | $418,578 | +$1,888 +0.5% | 4 |
| 718d | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,711 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 718d | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,866 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 718d | longtern | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,804 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 718d | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $34,656 | −$937 −2.7% | — | |
| 718d | AcidBurn958 fills | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $30,632 | −$870 −2.8% | — |
| 720d | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $257,694 | −$2,314 −0.9% | — | |
| 722d | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $65,325 | +$332 +0.5% | 4 | |
| 724d | kingfisher2 fills | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,231 | −$155 −2.5% | — |
| 726d | CoolBetguy3 fills | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,936 | −$144 −1.3% | — |
| 730d | TimBalz | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,590 | +$62 +1.1% | 4 |
| 733d | erik50 | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | −$17 −1.6% | — |
| 735d | Chad-Wasp2 fills | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $34,761 | +$489 +1.4% | 4 |
| 735d | 0xfe91…70ff | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,992 | −$26 −1.3% | — |
| 736d | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $161,403 | +$5,502 +3.4% | 4 | |
| 737d | commeowder2 fills | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,595 | +$248 +3.3% | 4 |
| 737d | Chad-Wasp | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,725 | −$172 −2.6% | — |
| 737d | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,892 | −$108 −2.8% | — | |
| 737d | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $21,744 | −$797 −3.7% | — | |
| 738d | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,820 | +$146 +2.1% | 4 | |
| 740d | TL307 | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyYes2¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 742d | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,314 | +$40 +1.2% | 4 | |
| 742d | Gdub3 fills | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $11,016 | +$273 +2.5% | 4 |
| 744d | Mellifera | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,907 | +$93 +1.9% | 4 |
| 746d | hideo2 fills | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $50,801 | +$1,249 +2.5% | 4 |
| 748d | Fury0 | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,390 | −$34 −2.5% | — |
| 748d | Fury0 | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$24 +1.7% | 4 |
| 748d | Watkinscrypt | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,491 | −$35 −2.3% | — |
| 748d | Watkinscrypt | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$26 +1.7% | 4 |
| 748d | Cheney54 | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,491 | −$33 −2.2% | — |
| 748d | Cheney54 | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$24 +1.6% | 4 |
| 749d | mitraa | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,435 | +$31 +2.1% | 4 |
| 750d | DariaUK | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,489 | −$41 −2.7% | — |
| 750d | DariaUK | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$30 +2.0% | 4 |
| 751d | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,596 | −$290 −3.0% | — | |
| 752d | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $45,635 | +$1,670 +3.7% | 4 | |
| 752d | deomo | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,243 | +$33 +2.7% | 4 |
| 752d | CoolBetguy6 fills | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $19,079 | +$607 +3.2% | 4 |
| 752d | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $14,110 | +$475 +3.4% | 4 | |
| 752d | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,160 | −$138 −3.3% | — | |
| 753d | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $38,759 | −$1,276 −3.3% | — | |
| 753d | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,394 | −$173 −3.2% | — | |
| 754d | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $10,846 | +$368 +3.4% | 4 | |
| 756d | QMG-CORE | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,412 | +$44 +3.1% | 4 |
| 759d | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyYes4¢ → 0¢ | $3,136 | −$3,136 −100% | 13 | |
| 761d | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $52,621 | +$2,472 +4.7% | 4 | |
| 768d | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $12,378 | −$470 −3.8% | — | |
| 769d | commeowder2 fills | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $9,310 | −$340 −3.7% | — |
| 772d | Champ | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $11,000 | +$415 +3.8% | 4 |
| 772d | nickverd3 fills | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,785 | +$242 +4.2% | 4 |
| 774d | chph1988 | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyYes6¢ → 0¢ | $2,972 | −$2,972 −100% | 12 |
| 777d | acctpoly | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | −$40 −3.8% | — |
| 779d | lowrisk243 fills | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $8,492 | +$268 +3.2% | 4 |
| 792d | bama1245 fills | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $14,637 | −$819 −5.6% | — |
| 800d | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,152 | +$256 +4.2% | 4 | |
| 801d | mozzz | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $53,199 | +$2,816 +5.3% | 4 |
| 804d | Munners | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,281 | −$96 −7.5% | — |
| 809d | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $12,297 | −$1,069 −8.7% | — | |
| 813d | BbAaa2 fills | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyYes19¢ → 0¢ | $2,905 | −$2,905 −100% | 10 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevents Donald Trump from continuing the race, this market will also resolve to "Yes". If Donald Trump does not drop out or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 Presidential Election by 12:01 AM ET on November 5, 2024, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.