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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 100% | +66 pts | +61 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| June 30 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| July 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 397d | Kingjusti | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,451 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 397d |  Ahpo | December 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,663 | −$77 −1.0% | — |
| 397d | Ahpo | December 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,663 | +$77 +1.0% | 20 |
| 397d |  Car3 fills | December 31 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $4,890 | +$683 +14% | 20 |
| 397d |  MichaelJacksonn | December 31 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,177 | +$325 +15% | 20 |
| 449d | aviato | July 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,898 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 449d | Trump2028 | July 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,218 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 450d |  donjo | July 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,776 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 450d |  prescient | July 31 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,915 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 450d | prescient | July 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,918 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 450d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | July 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,264 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 451d | 854A7843 | December 31 | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $1,416 | −$1,416 −100% | 20 |
| 454d |  scottilicious9 fills | July 31 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $25,099 | +$3,437 +14% | 20 |
| 461d | 854A7843 | July 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,734 | +$72 +4.2% | 20 |
| 461d |  Parz1vaI2 fills | July 31 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,390 | −$143 −3.3% | — |
| 467d | louishampton | July 31 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | +$47 +4.2% | 20 |
| 467d | louishampton | December 31 | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $2,994 | −$2,994 −100% | 20 |
| 468d | Parz1vaI | July 31 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$60 +6.0% | 20 |
| 475d | pkz2 fills | December 31 | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $2,795 | −$2,795 −100% | 20 |
| 479d | nonkenny902 fills | July 31 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $3,168 | +$632 +20% | 20 |
| 479d | Niseko3 fills | July 31 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $5,435 | +$994 +18% | 20 |
| 480d | Simis | June 30 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,193 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 480d | nononom | December 31 | SellYes43¢ → 100¢ | $1,467 | −$1,927 −131% | — |
| 481d | SaylorMoon | June 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,330 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 481d |  MettaWorldPeace00 | June 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,299 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 482d |  FridayNight | December 31 | BuyNo54¢ → 0¢ | $1,080 | −$1,080 −100% | 20 |
| 482d | nonkenny902 fills | June 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,306 | −$27 −0.8% | — |
| 485d |  MajidJavadi | June 30 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,259 | −$118 −2.8% | — |
| 485d | FridayNight | July 31 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,874 | +$338 +18% | 20 |
| 485d |  BigBlackGorilla | June 30 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,042 | −$17 −1.6% | — |
| 486d |  elmcap22 fills | June 30 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,701 | +$76 +2.8% | 20 |
| 487d | denizz2 fills | June 30 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,117 | −$122 −3.9% | — |
| 487d |  mr.ozi | June 30 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,876 | −$124 −4.3% | — |
| 488d | Simis | June 30 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,145 | +$49 +4.3% | 20 |
| 489d |  lranon | December 31 | SellYes56¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | −$844 −78% | — |
| 492d | 0x253d…3307 | June 30 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | +$60 +4.2% | 20 |
| 493d |  ondra123 | June 30 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,119 | −$72 −6.4% | — |
| 494d |  Sivert | June 30 | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,670 | −$330 −12% | — |
| 495d | Retired-Davis | June 30 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $11,543 | +$1,435 +12% | 20 |
| 495d | lordedward | June 30 | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,557 | −$425 −17% | — |
| 496d | matt24601 | December 31 | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $2,489 | −$966 −39% | — |
| 497d | flyingkite | June 30 | SellYes24¢ → 0¢ | $1,207 | +$1,207 +100% | — |
| 497d | bineyamlt | June 30 | SellYes22¢ → 0¢ | $1,232 | +$1,232 +100% | — |
| 497d | Vamoss | June 30 | BuyYes49¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 20 |
| 498d | Niseko | July 31 | SellNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | −$725 −65% | — |
| 498d |  Temmyr | June 30 | BuyYes22¢ → 0¢ | $1,027 | −$1,027 −100% | 20 |
| 498d | Niseko | June 30 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,333 | +$333 +25% | 20 |
| 499d | spark1 | December 31 | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,455 | −$623 −43% | — |
| 499d | matt24601 | December 31 | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $2,826 | +$1,079 +38% | 20 |
| 499d | G122 | June 30 | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | −$271 −25% | — |
| 499d | Parz1vaI | December 31 | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | +$375 +33% | 20 |
| 499d | scottilicious10 fills | June 30 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $36,791 | +$4,753 +13% | 20 |
| 499d | G122 | June 30 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | +$227 +22% | 20 |
| 500d | BryanPunishMK22 | December 31 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,942 | +$613 +32% | 20 |
| 500d | Ronaldo2100 | December 31 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,937 | +$618 +32% | 20 |
| 500d | ourbuddywasright | June 30 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | +$320 +25% | 20 |
| 500d |  just.some.guy | December 31 | SellNo27¢ → 0¢ | $1,688 | +$1,688 +100% | — |
| 500d | just.some.guy | July 31 | SellNo54¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | −$935 −85% | — |
| 500d | just.some.guy | June 30 | SellNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,267 | −$457 −36% | — |
| 500d | armand | July 31 | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $1,280 | −$1,280 −100% | 21 |
FridayNight7,162 shares
Frosen265 shares
WongKimArk200 sharesThis is a market on whether Trump will have a meeting with Elon Musk by a specified date.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 100%.