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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 67% | +1 pts | −22 pts | 66¢ · 67¢ (1¢) | $478 | in 69d |
| October 31 | 20% | −9 pts | −18 pts | 19¢ · 21¢ (2¢) | $14.4 | in 8d |
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CosmicCedar464 shares
Viserys314 shares
ArmageddonRewardsBilly123 shares
iForgor1,016 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 67¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 67%.