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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 30 | 0% | −2 pts | −33 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 21 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d | wubddh2 fills | December 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,923 | +$98 +1.7% | 20 |
| 327d | sleepin | November 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,383 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 327d |  PredictionYogi | November 30 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,258 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 |
| 331d |  ScottyNooo | November 30 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,160 | +$90 +4.2% | 20 |
| 332d | Huludubu | November 30 | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,799 | −$244 −14% | — |
| 334d |  Patroclus | November 30 | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | +$520 +35% | 22 |
| 336d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae1623 fills | November 21 | BuyNo>99¢ | $37,563 | +$38 +0.1% | 20 |
| 336d |  TeemuPukki | November 21 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,655 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 337d | ganatalak | November 21 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | +$34 +2.6% | 20 |
| 338d | Huludubu | November 30 | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,651 | +$542 +33% | 20 |
funding600 sharesAmid rumors of a U.S.-drafted peace framework, a so-called 28-point proposal to end the war with Russia, Zelenskiy is scheduled to meet U.S. Army officials in Kyiv on November 20. More details can be found here: https://www.axios.com/2025/11/19/ukraine-peace-plan-trump-russia-witkoff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration publicly releases a new framework to end the war between Ukraine and Russia by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying document must be framed as a new peace proposal outlining specific conditions, for example, regarding reparations, territorial agreements, demilitarization, sanctions, etc. A mere announcement that such a document exists or will be released will not suffice. To qualify, the Executive Branch must itself publish the document or its content to the public. Reports that a qualifying document was provided privately, for example, to Ukrainian officials, will not suffice. Partial releases, such as a written summary or outline, will count as long as they are framed as a peace proposal outlining specific conditions. Leaks or unverified/unofficial information will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for November 30 means the market gives it about 0%.